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AA hand flops decent on wet board

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  1. #1
    bjsaust's Avatar
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    Default AA hand flops decent on wet board

    No real reads. This is the end of my session and I'm kinda tired.


    PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    CO ($26.16)
    Button ($39.57)
    SB ($31.28)
    BB ($14.26)
    UTG ($19.72)
    Hero (MP) ($27)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with A, A, 8, 9
    UTG calls $0.25, Hero bets $1, 1 fold, Button calls $1, 1 fold, BB calls $0.75, UTG calls $0.75

    Flop: ($4.10) Q, J, 6 (4 players)
    BB checks, UTG checks, Hero is happy to get in?
    Just dipping my toes back in.
  2. #2
    I would bet it


  3. #3
    I would not fold this street with no read, you have 22% vs QQ** and KdTd98
  4. #4
    bjsaust's Avatar
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    Ok, because I was tired, I actually checked. Button bet pot, UTG raised pot (shoved or close) and BB folded. At this point would I still call/get in likely 3 way?
    Just dipping my toes back in.
  5. #5
    swiggidy's Avatar
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    Best case you're prob 35% assuming they have no diamonds and 2 pair. You can fold here, but I don't always (not saying it's good)
    (\__/)
    (='.'=)
    (")_(")
  6. #6
    I'm not thrilled to stack off here (esp 3ways) but I'm not folding in this spot either
  7. #7
    bjsaust's Avatar
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    Ok, so it was a mistake folding, but not a huge one?


    UTG had 2P and button had a KKXXdd hand. I was actually over 50% against their actual hands, but lost as to where I was against their ranges.
    Just dipping my toes back in.
  8. #8
    swiggidy's Avatar
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    Assuming everyone was 100bb.

    If you bet the flop, they both go all in it's 20 to call and win 75 so you need 26%
    If you check and they bet/shove it's 24 to call so you need 33%

    The first makes it a pretty easy call, the 2nd is a much closer decision. After running some hands, doc's scenario is almost the worst case scenario, so GAMBOOL!!!
    (\__/)
    (='.'=)
    (")_(")
  9. #9
    you may be the first person in PLO history to fold AA w/NFD on the flop.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  10. #10
    swiggidy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by swiggidy View Post
    You can fold here
    I'm retracting this statement. I was thinking about a naked NFD, or maybe AdK*d* or something. The purrr makes a big difference.
    (\__/)
    (='.'=)
    (")_(")
  11. #11
    bjsaust's Avatar
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    Yeah. This was literraly my last hand of the session and I was obviously too worried about losing a stack and messing up my winning session.
    Just dipping my toes back in.

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