Juiced local rebuy, TPGK on button, tough decision

Hi all,

I play twice a week with the same group of 27 ish players in a £5 rebuy and add on. In this session there are 21 players and as it was a Christmas bonus session, the pot was juiced so that all 9 on the final table were paid going from £50 in a fairly flat payout structure until £120 for third, £250 2nd and £500 the winner.

As I play with these guys twice a week I have a lot of detailed player info on the guys I'm in the hand with.

BTN: Hero: 29500 chips
SB: 7000 chips
BB: 18000 chips

Blinds are 500/1000 no antes.
Dealt to Hero:

SB is loose and very aggressive. Will raise Ax and Kx unsuited from UTG at a full table. He is also a station and rarely backs off from aggression, calling without odds to draw and calling big bets on the turn and river with 2nd or 3rd pair. I would felt top pair against him without hesitation in most situations.

BB is loose and less aggressive but has a bit of a history with me and moans that I always knock him out. He will call light in the BB, but he'll also limp with a raggy A, and not bet it when it hits on any street. In addition, he is capable of moves. In previous games he has called my late position raise in the BB and stop and go'd me with two high cards (I'd hit trips on that flop and that's part of our history). He's also prone to betting his draws more than his pairs.

Their reads on me. I'm considered (overly) tight but dangerous and I have only shown down big hands tonight. My stack came from JJ hitting a set, AA AI preflop, AQs in a race with KQo and 98 limped on the button making a boat. I folded my last small blind in an unraised pot and folded my last button when it was folded to me.

Remember the extra big prize pool and the payout structure are a big factor in everyone's mind and in mine. £29500 is a medium to big stack on the final table. The rebuy period is over.

Onto the hand.

4 folds Hero raises to 2500, SB calls, BB calls (pot 7500)

Flop



SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 3000, SB calls 3000, BB raises all in, SB puts head in hands and says NO, then gets up from chair.

Pot is 29000, 12500 to call.

I've never seen him check raise all in before.

Hero?

calls, too many draws and worse top pairs to fold

bet more on flop, all in now

super fist-pump even

Thanks. I thought my reasoning at the time was sound, but after the hand I doubted it.

Here was my reasoning:

On the flop I'm hoping to be check raised all in by the SB. This is exactly the sort of thing he'd do with any 9, any draw etc. So if I bet 3000, I'm trying to entice the shove. I don't want to bet so much he won't call with crappy pairs.

He calls, I'm fairly pleased, but the BB push is weird.

Firstly, I ruled out JJ, 77, 99. He usually shoves over preflop with too many pairs (He would shove over 55 pre-flop here and has before. I starting thinking that AJ and other 1 J hands were out too. As I've said, he has a tendancy to check call single pair hands without a draw.

This left me with T8, 79, J9, J7, that fit the play that beat me, with
almost any 2 diamonds (most likely including the 9d), QT, T9, JT that I beat and that fit the hand.

I thought the pot odds were too good to fold with this many draws so called.

I wondered after the hand though, if the extra pressure on making the final table might rule him out of trying to bluff me out with a draw. I have him covered and he has a thing about me beating him. Does this skew his range here towards the monsters?