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j3o blind vs steal short stacked bubble

  
 
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daven
Old 10-11-2009, 02:00 PM     Post subject: j3o blind vs steal short stacked bubble #1 (permalink)  
Straight Flush

Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,801
daven will become famous soon enough
 m=nearly out after some craziness a few hands earlier, moved to a new table and hit the blinds immediately, 17/22 remaining, 180man, 18pay
standard call i'm guessing?

500/1000 Blinds 100 Ante (7 handed) -

MP2 (t5137)
CO (t7671)
Button (t3457)
SB (t9580)
Hero (BB) (t3185)
UTG (t18785)
MP1 (t21464)

Hero's M: 1.45

Preflop: Hero is BB with J, 3
4 folds, Button bets t3357 (All-In),
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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Extremophile
Old 10-11-2009, 03:26 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Extremophile
What are the chip counts of the other 5 short stacks? The button is 16th right now and I'd first check the other 5 guys' stacks and their positions. How many of them will hit the blinds soon? Whenever two of them improves, I go all in. MP2 is also another candidate to buble out in 1-2 orbits. I tend to fold this hand.
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revolvingiris
Old 10-13-2009, 06:18 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 1,139
revolvingiris
Do we have an idea about what range button is doing this with?

15% = 77+,A7s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KTo+,QJo

If villain is shoving the above range then your call would be break even. Any wider and this would be a +EV call. I think you also have to snap this off being the SB will eat up 1/4 your stack the very next hand.

If you win this pot you'll be up to 8.3k. If you fold you'll be down to 1400 in the SB. You can't fold to the money and your basically calling the BB on your next AI if you don't take this shot. I would call this and be meh about it.
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