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taipan168
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03-07-2010, 10:05 AM
Post subject: AQ, A high dry flop, opp raises ($27)
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#1 (permalink)
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Administrator
Administrator
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Sydney
Posts: 10,436
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I have 0 reads on this guy and being second hand no stats have come up. What's your move?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 27 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO (t1500)
Button (t1490)
SB (t1480)
BB (t1500)
UTG (t1530)
Hero (UTG+1) (t1500)
MP1 (t1500)
MP2 (t1500)
MP3 (t1500)
Hero's M: 50.00
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q , A
1 fold, Hero bets t80, 5 folds, SB calls t70, 1 fold
Flop: (t180) 2 , A, 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t120, SB raises to t300, Hero ????
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Fielmann
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 307
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Can't fold. He might have Ax or random pocket pair and attacking what he perceives as standard bluff cbet.
Coming over the top with TPGK isn't cool either.
I'd call and re-evaluate on turn. Position rules.
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fulksy
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Edmonton,Canada
Posts: 1,018
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i assume most players raise AK pre here? also i don't think a set raises on this board, 2 pair unlikely since their was a preflop raise. if i had reads and thought opponent would call a shove with Ax i might just shove, but with no reads i call and am willing to get it in on the turn. I'm not to worried about giving a free card since theirs not much he could be drawing to. is it terrible checking the turn and shoving over a raise.
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eberetta1
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One Pair
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Cambridge Minnesota
Posts: 23
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I'd assume he hit 2pr Ace eight. your queen is toast. Either to a king or a rag.
To most people this is like a can of pringle's. You are gonna keep eating because you have the highest pair and afraid to fold. I's say you have at most a 55% chance of winning.
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drmcboy
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DrButtInski
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 9,565
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call here soul read turn
meh I think second hand I just pay it off on turn if you're beat, maybe you could fold if it's a J/T
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TLR
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 4,994
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I will call, his range definitely include Ax and maybe hands like 89,8T, I would call and if the turn is blank I will probably play for stacks
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baudib
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,176
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I check the flop.
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Playing big pots at small stakes.
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taipan168
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Administrator
Administrator
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Sydney
Posts: 10,436
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Quote:
Originally Posted by baudib
I check the flop.
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With the intention of...
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Nakamura
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Grindin'
Posts: 1,511
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The villain ought to know that that flop hits your range pretty hard when you raise from an EP. I have never played this level, but after a CR the villain is probably firing 80% time on the turn. It just seems like we might be calling and are gearing up to fold to bet, which is coming more often than not. Burning 180 chips comes to mind...
I don't think you are losing much value by folding to the CR.
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baudib
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,176
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Quote:
Originally Posted by taipan168
With the intention of...
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Letting him bluff the turn or think he has the nuts with AJ. It's a basic WA/WB situation.
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Playing big pots at small stakes.
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