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Im_new
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09-15-2009, 01:54 AM
Post subject: AQ aggression/ bluff
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,055
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MP3 is 13/5 over 103 hands. CO is 21/2 over 92 hands.
I tried applying some pressure on this fun flop. I chose this line because I've noticed that villain does not put his chips in the middle very often for AI. he will only show premiums, so I want to steal this early.
That said, now I'm facing a difficult turn decision. My instinct is to shove it because it will fold out sooo many hands that have me beaten. And even if I'm called by an overpair... I have some pretty sexy outs.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 1.1 Tournament, 60/120 Blinds 15 Ante (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP1 (t320)
MP2 (t10550)
MP3 (t6855)
CO (t5821)
Button (t3145)
SB (t3995)
BB (t3130)
UTG (t2950)
Hero (UTG+1) (t7995)
Hero's M: 25.38
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q , A
1 fold, Hero bets t360, MP1 calls t305 (All-In), 1 fold, MP3 calls t360, CO calls t360, 3 folds
Flop: (t1700) 5 , 7 , 5 (4 players, 1 all-in)
Hero checks, MP3 checks, CO bets t360, Hero raises to t1200, 1 fold, CO calls t840
Turn: (t4100) 7 (3 players, 1 all-in)
Hero ???
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drmcboy
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DrButtInski
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 9,565
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I prefer a smaller bet, like 2/3 the side pot size maybe. then based on how quick he calls and what the river is maybe shove then.
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revolvingiris
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 1,119
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I think if you 3bet here you have to shove the river...The problem I see though is that the CO isn't folding. Calling stations never do.
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fjuanl
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 2,440
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I like that you at least have a reason for making this, but imo its not the best plan here. When villain bets into 3 people (even if its small), he's going to have a good hand a lot. Even vs guys who wont stack off easily, you have to make sure they're range of hands is weak enough to justify making a play.
Theres only 1 potsized bet left on the turn so I guess its shove or fold. Yeah you likely will have 6 clean outs of called, but that leaves you at about 12% in a spot where I just don't see many people folding
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drmcboy
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DrButtInski
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 9,565
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ps I think normally I would just call on the flop as played, also I think leading the flop is good and cheaper than this
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Im_new
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,055
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by drmcboy
ps I think normally I would just call on the flop as played, also I think leading the flop is good and cheaper than this
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^These were my post-hand thoughts. ^
My problem with calling is the draw heaviness of the board. I can see too many draws staying in given how small the flop bet is; that, in combination with being OOP for the rest of the hand made it less savory. If villain had bet a bit more, I would have called. I thought similar with leading out on the flop. Given they'll think it is a bluff or semi-bluff a good amount of the time, I'll be called more often, which will either force me to double barrel or fold a hand that could be best.
All of that said, I should have led out.
Here is what happened:
I shoved. Villain Folded.
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