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$8/180 AQ flops 2nd nut FD and gutshot

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  1. #1

    Default $8/180 AQ flops 2nd nut FD and gutshot

    Early in a $8/180. Opp's HUD stats were something like 44/11 over the first 10 or so hands. What's your move here?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 8 Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com/

    Button (t1,305)
    SB (t1,400)
    BB (t1,460)
    UTG (t150)
    UTG+1 (t1,470)
    MP1 (t2,845)
    MP2 (t1,840)
    Hero (MP3) (t1,575)
    CO (t1,455)

    Hero's M: 35.00

    Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A, Q
    3 folds, MP2 calls t30, Hero raises to t120, 2 folds, SB calls t105, 1 fold, MP2 calls t90

    Flop: (t390) K, 5, 10 (3 players)
    SB checks, MP2 bets t195, Hero ????
  2. #2
    chardrian's Avatar
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    I don't see a huge error in anything you do. Raise, fold, call all have merit.
    http://chardrian.blogspot.com
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  3. #3
    Renton's Avatar
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    Jan 2006
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    a little town called none of your goddamn business
    Seems a quite clear raise.

    edit: Was on mobile so I couldn't respond in detail. It's an easy raise because there are scant benefits to calling. You only have real implied odds on your 3 gutter outs. Hitting a flush on the turn will just cause him to shut down his non-nuts range and you won't be in very many profitable situations from there. You have much too much equity vs his range to fold.
    Last edited by Renton; 01-05-2014 at 02:45 AM.
  4. #4
    I am folding as I see no need to put this much of your stack at risk this early when you could be drawing dead (fish limp call axs a lot in mtts) . We still have 50+ bbs vs people in an $8 mtt , I am pretty sure we can find better spots to be getting our chips in .

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