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Blinds vs BTN - Common Spot
Rather than this specific hand this is an extremely frequent spot that I'm looking to get a better understanding of. Folds to CO / BTN with reggish stats, we're in the blinds with a decent Kx / Ax type hand:
BTN is 21/14 with 28% steal, 70% fold to 3bet, 71% cbet
$0.02/$0.05 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
Stacks:
UTG ($5.21) 104bb
UTG+1 ($23) 460bb
CO ($5.40) 108bb
BTN ($5) 100bb
SB ($3.41) 68bb
BB Hero ($5.14) 103bb
Pre-Flop: (0.07, 6 players) Hero is BB
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.15, 1 fold, $0.1 to Hero?
I'll try and outline my thought process:
AJo is well ahead of villains BTN opening range. If I flat call then I keep the pot small which seems good as I'm OOP and I keep all of his weaker hands in. If I 3bet he likely folds most (but not all) of the hands I'm ahead of, I imagine his 3b calling range to be wider than normal as he is in position on me. So if I 3bet his range gets stronger, the pot gets bigger and I'm still OOP.
But - given that he folds to 3bets 70% and I hold blockers to the strongest part of his range a 3bet likely takes the hand down now, and I avoid playing OOP.
I'm more inclined to call in these spots. Is that usually correct?
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