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Originally Posted by rowhousepd
Again, I know this changes depending on the villain and the board, but in a common heads up situation like this, is there general a rule of thumb? Do you base the raise amount on a % of the pot after the villain's bet (in this case 14bb), or his bet, or both? Thanks.
You're describing a scenario where you know absolutely nothing about villain, which is important to consider. There will be many spots you get into when it's your first few hands at the table, or against someone new at the table. Without any stats or reads on villain, the board texture becomes important, along with your hand strength, the size of villain's bet, and his stack size.
In this example, I assume there are no flush draws, so you are likely way ahead here. But don't be afraid of scaring villain away - you have to build a pot, so I like a raise. When a random villain donk bets here, I think his likely holding is top pair, weak kicker, or some kind of king. You need to raise with the intention of being able to bet again on the turn and shove on the river. But not so much to get him to consider folding his hand. The trick is to reel him in slowly until he gets to a point where he's at the river, has committed half his stack, and the pot is too big so he "can't" fold. Assuming you both have 100 bbs, a raise of 15bbs on the flop should be good. It could play out like this:
Preflop: Raise 3.5 bbs (Pot size: 8 bbs, Stack size: 96.5 bbs)
Flop: Raise 15 bbs (Pot size: 38 bbs, Stack size: 81.5 bbs)
Turn: Bet 30 bbs (Pot size: 98 bbs, Stack size: 51.5 bbs)
River All-in 51.5 bbs
This will set you up with a 53% pot sized bet for all-in on the river.
It's hard to give a rule of thumb or generalization in these situations but you want to consider building the pot, in addition to the board texture, your hand, and villain's stack size.
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