[50NL] KQo...BB vs BU.

[Cobra_1878]

Villain is 42/23/0 (3bet) over 80 hands. ATS on BU is 67%, CB of 50%.

Might be worth noting that around 6 minutes earlier I had stacked him, his BU vs my BB again, he stacked off w/ 99 on 862r flop in 3bet pot.

PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): $101.65
UTG: $55.18
CO: $53.59
BTN: $50.00
SB: $78.62

SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has Q K

fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, fold, Hero calls $1.00

Flop: ($3.25, 2 players) Q 9 Q
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.00, Hero raises to $3.50, BTN calls $2.50

Turn: ($10.25, 2 players) 4
Hero bets $7.25, BTN calls $7.25

River: ($24.75, 2 players) 8
Hero checks, BTN bets $19.50, Hero ???

Firstly, my flop raise is so small because I wasn't paying attention and raised in relation to his bet size not the pot size.

Should we be b/f, c/c, or c/f this river? His bet is fairly big and pretty much everything got there.

[Razvan729]

i would c/f river on that bet. cant see enough combos he'd bet to call.

[The Bean Counter]

Villain's spazmo flop sizing and line pretty much means you're toast on the river imo. I really want to snap it off but you look so much like big draws and Qx on the flop that he must know that you'll find the river difficult to fold.

Might be worth noting that around 6 minutes earlier I had stacked him, his BU vs my BB again, he stacked off w/ 99 on 862r flop in 3bet pot.

Enjoy - you're going to see this dick-waving stuff a lot at this stake (congrats on moving up so quickly from 25nl btw).

[Cobra_1878]

Villain's spazmo flop sizing and line pretty much means you're toast on the river imo. I really want to snap it off but you look so much like big draws and Qx on the flop that he must know that you'll find the river difficult to fold.



Enjoy - you're going to see this dick-waving stuff a lot at this stake (congrats on moving up so quickly from 25nl btw).

Yeah, he must think I am pretty strong here, and with such a big bet I just think he has it a lot of the time.

Thanks, I felt like I understood what was happening at 25NL and I started off really well, never looked back. Hoping the same for 50NL, although I don't expect it to be anywhere near as quick.

[daven]

flop check-raise could be bigger
turn looks good, again, would $9.25 change his calling frequency much though?
i call river based on history/dynamic you gave + i'm a station - i can see him value betting worse here often enough that he doesn't need to be bluffing much for you to be good 30%. I like bet-fold $15-ish better though.

[griffey24]

That's like the ultimate nut worst river. I don't hate a c/f. If villain is passive I don't hate a block of like $10ish on river either, if we don't expect to get bluff jammed.

[pocketfours]

I'd 3bet pre against this guy. Riv c/f.

[ilikeaces86]

Random question. Not specific to OP's holdings, but I think most people have way too big of a c/f range here vs villain. Just think how profitable it is for villain to turn ATC into a bluff on this river. Maybe he was tilting or thought OP was FOS on flop and turn but now look at the beautiful opportunity that river presented him. You have to determine how cognizent he is of that fact, and how often he is tilting/thinking your FOS...not saying its a call, but just saying some people can be abused by check folding nearly their entire non-nut range here.

[Renton]

Aces, that supposes he is capable of bluffing with some pretty strong hands here.