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ZOOM 100NL Check Raised on River

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  1. #1

    Default ZOOM 100NL Check Raised on River

    No reads on villain. Play suggests his not a good player. Without further info, I usually puke and call here. Wondering if any reason to do something different.

    $0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
    PokerStars
    9 Players

    Stacks:
    UTG ($120.86)
    UTG+1 ($140.20)
    Hero (MP1) ($113.07)
    MP2 ($210.87)
    MP3 ($26.03)
    CO ($101)
    BTN ($95.08)
    SB ($161.34)
    BB ($56.07)

    Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 9 players) Hero is MP1
    1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1, Hero raises to $4, 6 folds, UTG+1 calls $3

    Flop: ($9.50, 2 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $5.99, UTG+1 calls $5.99

    Turn: ($21.48, 2 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $14, UTG+1 calls $14

    River: ($49.48, 2 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $25, UTG+1 shoves, $64.08 to Hero
  2. #2
    I think you should bet larger on every street.
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Deanglow View Post
    I think you should bet larger on every street.
    true
  4. #4
    easy call with these odds because his value range is not only boats+
  5. #5
    As long as villain is going to show up with kq and q10 here which if hes a fishy villain as described he will always value the same , then this is a definite call .

    pot 75 + villains 64 = 138 , 64/(138+64) = .31 so we only need 31% vs his total range to break even calling river . JJ,77,55,KQs,QTs+,KQo,QTo+ vs this tight range imo we have 40% so .....................CALL
  6. #6
    I would call. You've been showing enough strength on every street to warrant a check raise at any point before the river. Meaning, he might as well check raise you before the flush hits if he has two pair or trips. He doesn't need to slow play to the river. That doesn't make sense.

    Thus, he likely improved on the river with trips, but so did you.
  7. #7
    Fnord's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Posts
    19,388
    Location
    Silicon Valley
    Board: Qc Jc 5h 7h Qd

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 50.000% 42.86% 07.14% 9 1.50 { AcQh }
    Hand 1: 50.000% 42.86% 07.14% 9 1.50 { QQ-JJ, 77, AQs, KQs, Q9s+, AQo, KQo, QTo+ }

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