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TPTK, easy fold?

  
 
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daven
Old 09-27-2007, 06:51 AM     Post subject: TPTK, easy fold? #1 (permalink)  
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 Gotta fold here right?

Prima Network No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed)

Hero ($12.12)
MP ($10.90)
CO ($9.90)
Button ($10.22)
SB ($17.25)
BB ($3.14)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with [As], [Kc]. CO posts a blind of $0.10.
Hero raises to $0.4, 3 folds, SB calls $0.35, 1 fold.

Flop: ($1) [4c], [Ks], [8c] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.6, SB calls $0.60.

Turn: ($2.20) [5s] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.2, SB raises to $2.8, Hero ??
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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djzcko
Old 09-27-2007, 01:42 PM #2 (permalink)  
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djzcko
Call and re-eval the river. If he pushes then he prob has a set or hit his gutshot...if he checks or weak bets then you are prob goot.
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biondino
Old 09-27-2007, 03:13 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I don't think that's right tbh. If we call/raise here we have to do so because we think we're likely ahead. I doubt many 10nl players raise the turn with a gutshot or a flush draw, so we're realistically looking at a high king, two pair or a set (or that straight). Whether we bet or fold here depends on our reads. I think it's not too hard to argue that, against an unknown/average 10nl player, this is a fold.
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Pelion
Old 09-27-2007, 04:33 PM #4 (permalink)  
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whats with the girlie bet sizes?
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
 
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will641
Old 09-27-2007, 06:23 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 yeah, i would say most likely villain just caught a 3 outer on you, or possibly the gut shot, because players at 10NL just seem to love their gut shots.
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Vi-Zer0Skill
Old 09-27-2007, 06:27 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 your bet sizing is a little small (i like $0.80 on flop, $1.70 on turn)

Villain probably has a hand like K-8 or 4-4. Most 10NL opponents are going to continue to be passive with TPWK or a flush draw, so i think you can rule those hands out of his range.
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daven
Old 09-27-2007, 07:25 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pelion
whats with the girlie bet sizes?
I agree - it's a bad habit that i'm killing off at the moment
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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