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TPGK facing riverminraise

  
 
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Robert
Old 09-20-2007, 04:31 PM     Post subject: TPGK facing riverminraise #1 (permalink)  
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Simple hand, simple question: looks like I'm beat a lot vs. a river mincheckraise - but do pot odds dictate a call anyway (I'm getting 4.5:1)?
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Seat 1: Pluffy111 ( $29.90 USD )
Seat 4: tapisnoir ( $91.87 USD )
Seat 5: FRAZ005 ( $140.92 USD )
Seat 6: On_The_Tilt_ ( $132.26 USD )
Seat 2: HERO ( $99 USD )
FRAZ005 posts small blind [$0.50 USD].
On_The_Tilt_ posts big blind [$1 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HERO [ Qs Kd ]
Pluffy111 folds
HERO raises [$4 USD]
tapisnoir folds
FRAZ005 calls [$3.50 USD]
On_The_Tilt_ folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ 4s, 2h, 5s ]
FRAZ005 checks
HERO checks
** Dealing Turn ** [ Kc ]
FRAZ005 checks
HERO bets [$6 USD]
FRAZ005 calls [$6 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 7c ]
FRAZ005 checks
HERO bets [$12 USD]
FRAZ005 raises [$24 USD]
HERO folds


EDIT: Converter is f****d so I'm posting the raw HH
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Silly String
Old 09-20-2007, 05:03 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I call this a lot and expect to lose 4.5 out of 5.5 times. Probably neutral EV, but a read on opponent would make this decision much easier. Even a stats read on looseness/tightness.
One thing about it is, your hand is face up if he knows what he's doing. I expect the 7 made his 2 pair or set of 7's.
Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
 
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Pelion
Old 09-20-2007, 06:08 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I hate these spots. I almost always call and always lose. Ive been thinking lately that we are winning like... 5% or the time here and probably cant call even getting the redonkulously long odds.
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
 
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snowbird4life
Old 09-20-2007, 09:30 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Why no flop cbet? As played, in this situation you are almost always behind but the odds are just amazinggg. Id just let the situation/reads/player dictate a call or fold here for me. Against an unknown id probably puke and call.
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Robert
Old 09-21-2007, 06:51 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by snowbird4life
Why no flop cbet? As played, in this situation you are almost always behind but the odds are just amazinggg. Id just let the situation/reads/player dictate a call or fold here for me. Against an unknown id probably puke and call.
I normally don't cbet this kind of board, way to many draws and potential other hands that will call this flop and leave me clueless on the turn in regards to wether I should 2nd barrel or not
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Deanglow
Old 09-21-2007, 03:34 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 You are winning this exactly 0% of the time so fold the river.
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