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Standard AA situation

  
 
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Ash256
Old 03-23-2010, 08:02 PM     Post subject: Standard AA situation #1 (permalink)  
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50NL, 100bb deep, 4th hand at table

Folded to me in CO and I make it 4bbs with AA
Unknown with 250bbs in BB calls

Flop is K73r, opponent c/calls 7bb bet

Turn is K completing the rainbow, opponent checks and I check behind

River is a Jack and opponent pots

Am I fine to just turbomuck here?
 
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Vi-Zer0Skill
Old 03-23-2010, 10:19 PM #2 (permalink)  
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i'd bet/fold the turn to save you this river dilemna
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meeloche
Old 03-23-2010, 11:00 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I'd play it the same and call more often on the river then fold. Timing and any reads are relevant to that. I feel like your gonna induce more bluffs by taking that line and there's really not a lot of value in betting the turn without different reads.
 
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Ash256
Old 03-24-2010, 01:52 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Thanks for the responses guys, allow me to elaborate a bit:

My first instinct was to call, but then I realised that I only really beat a bluff, and in order for villain to bluff on such a dry board, villain would have to do one of the following:

a) Turn 44-TT into a bluff. I really can't see a 50NLer doing that. (I also can't see him vbetting thinly).
b) Have c/called me OOP with the intention of bluffing me later. Surely if villain wanted to defend himself against aggression he'd c/r flop more often than float OOP?

I asked myself whether villain was doing a) or b) more than 1/3 of the time, and the answer felt like a no.


Am I missing something/overthinking this? I do have AA in a small raised pot..
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Galapogos
Old 03-24-2010, 03:07 AM #5 (permalink)  
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I think it's definitely a river fold as played but I definitely would have bet the turn. Not to save yourself the drama as Vi suggested though. Against an unknown I bet turn to get loose calls with PPs simply because I believe there's more value in it than checking behind the turn and betting the river if checked to. And yes, it does save you a tough river decision if he raises the turn too I suppose.


Quote:
Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
 
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minSim
Old 03-24-2010, 12:37 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Imo it's very unlikely that an underpair is calling more often to a river bet than a turn bet. The bet-check-bet line on dry boards is still considered to be stronger than bet-bet by most.

Would you be barreling with air?
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