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Harry
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12-16-2006, 09:41 PM
Post subject: Squeeze
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Philly
Posts: 722
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Original raiser is tag, other is unknown. I don't want to call here OOP, but I think I lose value by folding.
Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter
Stack sizes:
UTG: $100
UTG+1: $108.75
CO: $40
Button: $154.30
Hero: $106.70
BB: $128.95
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with Q A
UTG raises to $5, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Button folds, Hero raises to $16
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Pelion
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,206
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I usually dump this OOP.
TAG + UTG raise = range that crushes AQ.
Having said that if you are going to play it a reraise is probably best but its basically a bluff. I cant think of a situation (barring 2 pair+) that youre taking this to showdown so Id prefer it with 67s.
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gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.
bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
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Harry
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Philly
Posts: 722
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I disagree, I think KQ, AJ, ATs, and several lower PP are in his range here.
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andy-akb
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Maine
Posts: 1,836
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Pelion
I usually dump this OOP.
TAG + UTG raise = range that crushes AQ.
Having said that if you are going to play it a reraise is probably best but its basically a bluff. I cant think of a situation (barring 2 pair+) that youre taking this to showdown so Id prefer it with 67s.
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A _nit's_ raising range UTG crushes us, but we are ahead [it is close though] of a TAGs range:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 47.5735 % 43.98% 03.59% { 22+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, ATo+, KJo+, QJo }
Hand 2: 52.4265 % 48.84% 03.59% { AQo }
I dont really think I would go so far as to say that if we are 3betting here it is a bluff because I would say that we could get to showdown a decent amount of the time here with good pot control.
Anyways, we are going to be ahead of a TAGs range here, but as you pointed out, that still doesnt always make a call a great play. We are OOP so itll make the hand harder to play when we arent the preflop aggressors; however, with a good postflop game it should still be +EV. Basically, I think folding here is too weak tight [although sometimes I would], but prefer 3betting over calling. If I were to guess Id probably 3bet here ~60% of the time, call 30% and fold 10%, those are all estimates but are jprobably pretty accurate.
In the specific hand, your raise is very small which I dont really like. PF I really think all raises should be PSRs, so here thats what I think it should be. I also think we should be mixing it up by also doing this a certain percentage of the time with small PPs, big PPs, SCs, and some random trash.
In short, this is fine and I would say standard [barring your raise size].
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Harry
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Philly
Posts: 722
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Yea I had a lot of shit going on when this happened and the timer was running out... I'd probably raise this to around $20.
When I say tag I mean 24/12... not a nit.
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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I think I dump here. Three-betting lacks pot control that AQ needs. Calling is clearly a spew.
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andy-akb
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Maine
Posts: 1,836
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
I think I dump here. Three-betting lacks pot control that AQ needs. Calling is clearly a spew.
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We are ahead of a "standard" tags range here, how is calling spew? If you open utg, have an LP caller and are 3bet from the blinds, what hands do you call with?
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elipsesjeff
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Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 4,900
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
I think I dump here. Three-betting lacks pot control that AQ needs. Calling is clearly a spew.
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No way! You have tons of value against most hands, and you're only way behind AK and QQ+, and I think your hand is fairly easy to play OOP, better than reraising. I don't like OP's 3x raise here, if you are going to squeeze this then at least 20, maybe even 24. I don't consider this raise a squeeze play and if you're called you have to put in a hefty continuation bet OOP without any idea of what your opponent has.
I don't mind a call here at all, and i don't see myself ever folding this hand.
By NEVER calling here, you take out many +EV options that coudn't have by Reraising.
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ville18
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Straight
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Yo mama
Posts: 223
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standard
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dsaxton
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 2,667
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Just call. You have a pretty good hand, but you'll be out of position for the rest of the hand, and the UTG tagg could be strong.
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jackvance
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 2,910
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As they say, finding good spots to squeeze is one of those required skills to be beating higher stakes, so very nice, atleast the effort :P
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Sarcasm is your body's natural defense against stupidity
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andy-akb
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Maine
Posts: 1,836
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by dsaxton
Just call. You have a pretty good hand, but you'll be out of position for the rest of the hand, and the UTG tagg could be strong.
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Ill ask the same question I asked Iowa, If you open UTG, have an LP caller and are then 3bet out of the blinds from a player who has not gotten out of line [which Harry definitely fits the profile of from my limited play with him], what hands are you calling here with?
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euphoricism
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
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I just had a similar hand, UTG makes it $3, moron super fish Limpy McLimpLimp in the CO coldcalls. folded to me in the BB with AQ.
I made it 20. I think that was overkill, but I'm not sure what to do in that situation.
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gabe
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: trying to live
Posts: 7,964
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i always raise here
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