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spot the set? 50nl

  
 
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humanfugitive
Old 01-03-2010, 07:41 AM     Post subject: spot the set? 50nl #1 (permalink)  
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villain is tight somewhat passive 16/12/1.7
his ats is high

what do i beat besides air and 7xss?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($66.85)
UTG ($52.10)
MP ($95.50)
Hero (CO) ($50)
Button ($50)
SB ($50)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, Q
2 folds, Hero bets $2, Button calls $2, 2 folds

Flop: ($4.75) 5, 2, 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, Button calls $2.50

Turn: ($9.75) J (2 players)
Hero bets $4.50, Button raises to $12, Hero calls $7.50

River: ($33.75) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $32, Hero folds

Total pot: $33.75 | Rake: $1.65
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XTR1000
Old 01-03-2010, 08:49 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Apart from him rarely calling 7x pre I really doubt he´d take this line with less than KK, I b/f turn right away for 7
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nutsinho
Old 01-03-2010, 09:56 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 you must fold the turn-
also,handreading tip: 7xss is not a standard hand to put in someones range here. it takes a special read to include this as a likely holding
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minSim
Old 01-03-2010, 11:36 AM #4 (permalink)  
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I'd also bet flop and turn bigger, like 2/3 at least. It likely doesn't change his calling range.

Turn I'd b/f, a passive villain has a set a ton there as it's very possible he slowplayed the flop, or his JJ hit one.
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griffey24
Old 01-03-2010, 03:32 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 Yah I agree with nutsinho. Most ppl will gladly just call the turn with 7xss.

If he has spades,he's more likely to have A4ss, A3ss, 89ss type hands.

Yah b/f turn vs such a nit.
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eragotte
Old 01-04-2010, 03:30 AM #6 (permalink)  
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i feel like this is a spot i screw up a lot but seems pretty common sense, so on the turn hes way to passive/tight to float with like AJ and there is zero reason to believe he suddenly switched on an aggro switch... easy turn fold hmm
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meeloche
Old 01-05-2010, 08:27 PM #7 (permalink)  
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 Very easy turn b/f. There are very few that play draws or worse hands like this. Like nutsinho said you need a specific read to put those hands in their range.



 
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