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So I squeezed with K6s, now I am lost...

  
 
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JL
Old 05-14-2008, 06:54 AM     Post subject: So I squeezed with K6s, now I am lost... #1 (permalink)  
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Villain = 24/18 kinda spewy

b/f, c/f, c/c, b/c ???

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No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $2/$4
5 players
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Stack sizes:
UTG: $440.00
CO: $394.00
Button: $237.15
Hero: $546.50
BB: $492.65

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is SB with K 6
UTG raises to $15, CO folds, Button calls, Hero raises to $60, BB folds, UTG calls, Button folds.

Flop: T Q K ($139, 2 players)
Hero
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Deanglow
Old 05-14-2008, 07:41 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Genitruc
Old 05-14-2008, 08:46 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Genitruc is an unknown quantity at this point
bet-fold imo
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Genitruc
Old 05-14-2008, 08:53 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Genitruc is an unknown quantity at this point
from what I can tell you're not overly laggy and you're repping lots of strength here

he should know you're calling a shove with a good top pair since the board is so draw-heavy (snap calling AK obv...) so it's unlikely he'll be bluffraising here
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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tarath
Old 05-14-2008, 08:59 AM #5 (permalink)  
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tarath
Against UTG raiser this 3bet seems likely to be -EV to me.

obv if he has 10/10+ hes never folding and your equity sucks. Similarly AK, KQ, and AJ, KJ, are never folding and your equity sucks.

Basically 95% of his "standard" calling range his this flop in a way that is never folding so you need to be convinced that hes calling light with suited connectors (and even QJs and J10s prob aren't folding) or small pairs at least 40% of the time or so for a bet/fold to be profitable.

Honestly I'd c/f.
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tarath
Old 05-14-2008, 08:59 AM #6 (permalink)  
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tarath
Against UTG raiser this 3bet seems likely to be -EV to me.

obv if he has 10/10+ hes never folding and your equity sucks. Similarly AK, KQ, and AJ, KJ, are never folding and your equity sucks.

Basically 95% of his "standard" calling range his this flop in a way that is never folding so you need to be convinced that hes calling light with suited connectors (and even QJs and J10s prob aren't folding) or small pairs at least 40% of the time or so for a bet/fold to be profitable.

Honestly I'd c/f.
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Galapogos
Old 05-14-2008, 04:05 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tarath
Against UTG raiser this 3bet seems likely to be -EV to me.

obv if he has 10/10+ hes never folding and your equity sucks. Similarly AK, KQ, and AJ, KJ, are never folding and your equity sucks.

Basically 95% of his "standard" calling range his this flop in a way that is never folding so you need to be convinced that hes calling light with suited connectors (and even QJs and J10s prob aren't folding) or small pairs at least 40% of the time or so for a bet/fold to be profitable.

Honestly I'd c/f.
He's not 3-betting for value though, he just wants to take the pot down preflop. And I think you're giving villain too light of a calling range for preflop without history between the two.

But I do agree about c/f. I'd hate this flop if I had AA.


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I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
 
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