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will641

02-04-2009, 04:12 PM Post subject: shove river?

#1 (permalink)

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villain is probably one of the better 400nl regs, pretty aggressive. it's blatant he doesnt have a nut hand or he would've squeezed the flop. pf raiser is pretty tight so i wasnt that concerned about getting squoze (word?), but even still pf is probably meh, but whatever.

at this point i am just kind of confused. it looks like A9, JT, maybe T8.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (CO) ($483.70)
Button ($406)
SB ($418.70)
BB ($427)
UTG ($566.60)
MP ($394)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 6

, 8

1 fold, MP raises to $14, Hero calls $14, 1 fold, SB calls $12, 1 fold

Flop: ($46) 4

, 7

, 9

(3 players)
SB checks, MP bets $33, Hero calls $33, SB calls $33

Turn: ($145) Q

(3 players)
SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $112, SB calls $112, 1 fold

River: ($369) Q

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero...

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Alexos

02-04-2009, 04:39 PM

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No need to shove if 100-125 will do the trick vs that range

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IowaSkinsFan

02-04-2009, 05:47 PM

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Good range analysis, I'd bet a little less than half pot I think your seeing T8/JT a hell of a lot, as well as 65 (if we thought 65 though only obv we'd check). The 7x that hit clubs on the turn or 9x/TT that didnt want to give up will prob fold too.

Then again, he could make a hero call here since all your repping is sets, but multiway im not sure its likely.

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Toadstool

02-05-2009, 01:08 AM

#4 (permalink)

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If we thought 65 only, it'd be best to bet to induce a C/R bluff.

Seeing as he C/C the turn OOP, I'd imagine his range is either combo draw/marginal made hand, with 1010 being at the top of his marginal made hand range.

I'd also think his range is more combo draws than marginal made hands.

I think 100-125 is your best bet here....you might fold out a few more marginal hands with a bigger bet, but he doesn't have them that often and he'd still likely call as your not repping that wide of a range.

Also, whats the worst hand you would value bet here?

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