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Should I fold top 2 here to potential set? (50NL)

  
 
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weezie
Old 12-28-2007, 09:35 AM     Post subject: Should I fold top 2 here to potential set? (50NL) #1 (permalink)  
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guy is 24/18/2 and my note on him says "raises with set on raised flop"

STAGE #858527796: HOLDEM NO LIMIT $0.50 - 2007-12-28 05:18:49 (ET)
Table: NOVI RD (Real Money) Seat #3 is the dealer
Seat 3 - TINMAN2845 ($34.23 in chips)
Seat 4 - WE3ZIE ($110.80 in chips)
Seat 5 - CASHIZZLE ($112.50 in chips)
Seat 1 - JIGSAWPUZZLE ($10.65 in chips)
Seat 2 - TAYLAN1986 ($39.35 in chips)
WE3ZIE - Posts small blind $0.25
CASHIZZLE - Posts big blind $0.50
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to WE3ZIE [Ks Ad]
JIGSAWPUZZLE - Folds
TAYLAN1986 - Folds
TINMAN2845 - Calls $0.50
WE3ZIE - Raises $1.75 to $2
CASHIZZLE - Calls $1.50
TINMAN2845 - Folds
*** FLOP *** [Kh 9s Ah]
WE3ZIE - Bets $2.50
CASHIZZLE - Raises $10.50 to $10.50
WE3ZIE - Calls $8
*** TURN *** [Kh 9s Ah] [7s]
WE3ZIE - Checks
CASHIZZLE - Bets $22
WE3ZIE - ?????
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minSim
Old 12-28-2007, 09:56 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I doubt a 24/18 does not 3-bet AA and KK preflop. You also raises a button limper from SB, so your range could be huge. If villain knows this his calling range in the BB is wise as well.

On the flop 99 is possible, but so is A9, AK and lots of flush draws. Because you are deep I like your flop call. I probably lead turn (and call a raise) because I don't want it to check thru and I still think villain has a FD a lot.
As played I raise the turn. If he really has 99 you're going broke.
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Deanglow
Old 12-28-2007, 01:20 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 I am checkraising the turn allin and being pretty happy about it. If you just call and the river bricks, he probably recognizes your range and gives up with a JQhh type hand (which I think is his most likely holding because of BU limp).

Allin on the turn; don't fear a set.
 
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Silly String
Old 12-28-2007, 01:34 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I take the trip to double-upsville or brokesville on the flop.
Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
 
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Rondavu
Old 12-28-2007, 01:40 PM #5 (permalink)  
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If I think someone has the tendancy to fold too often, I may play my draws fast for equity and deception, as opposed to someone not folding enough, where that line becomes spewy when deception is moot anyway, given the reasonable implied odds I recieve when hitting.

This is not to say your opponent is necessarily thinking. All I'm saying is that you're the type of player who invites flush draw into villains range in this scenerio a lot if you're considering folding top two AK.
It's not what's inside that counts. Have you seen what's inside?
Internal organs. And they're getting uglier by the minute.
 
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