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set vs. tag

  
 
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Rockymv
Old 08-03-2006, 09:59 PM     Post subject: set vs. tag #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is 19/13.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero ($92.50)
SB ($21.48)
BB ($191)
UTG ($64.24)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 2, 2. SB posts a blind of $0.50.
UTG calls $1, Hero calls $1, 1 fold, BB checks.

Flop: ($3.50) 5, 2, 6 (3 players)
BB bets $3, UTG folds, Hero raises to $12, BB calls $187 (All-In), Hero?????????????
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Renton
Old 08-03-2006, 10:01 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I can fold here.
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Rockymv
Old 08-03-2006, 10:05 PM #3 (permalink)  
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guess it depends on how likely two pair is...


109,890 games 0.031 secs 3,544,838 games/sec

Board: 2h 5d 6c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 50.3708 % 49.72% 00.65% { 22 }
Hand 2: 49.6292 % 48.98% 00.65% { 66-55, 65s, 62s, 52s, 43s, 65o, 62o, 52o, 43o }
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Fnord
Old 08-03-2006, 10:09 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Raise pre-flop and it's not even close.

Post-flop it comes down to what you think of the BB and how much gamble you have in you right now.
 
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Renton
Old 08-03-2006, 10:21 PM #5 (permalink)  
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i don't mind the preflop call (as opposed to raise)

I probably would have raised it, but if i suspected a l/rr I would def. just call.
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 08-03-2006, 10:29 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Check out the new blog!!!
 
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andy-akb
Old 08-03-2006, 10:47 PM #7 (permalink)  
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You have to raise this preflop.

Anyways, I dont know if I could get away from it during my session, but Id feel like an idiot when he flips 43o. Anyways, if you think there is a good chance this is two pair then Id call, but otherwise I dont think I could. We really have no idea what he could have here.

Also man, change tables. You are playing $100nl 4handed where only one player [not even yourself] has atleast 100bbs and he is TAGG and the others are incredibly shortstacked.
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Fnord
Old 08-03-2006, 10:49 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I like tables with 50-75 deep terrible players. Then again, I match-up well against them.
 
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Warpe
Old 08-03-2006, 10:54 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Werddown
Old 08-03-2006, 11:16 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Raise pre-flop and it's not even close.
.
what do you mean by this?
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r8ed
Old 08-03-2006, 11:44 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Werddown
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Raise pre-flop and it's not even close.
.
what do you mean by this?
He means if you raise and get a caller, then a straight or two pair are very unlikely. But since everyone limped their range is infinity.
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Fnord
Old 08-03-2006, 11:50 PM #12 (permalink)  
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19/13 seems like a reasonably sane sort.

By raising you:
o Put pressure on the other players to hit hands
o Widen your raising range
o Get free/cheap/freeroll turns and rivers
o Build up a pot, making it much easier to get in stacks when you hit. Pocket pairs are big pot hands and big pots are best started on cheap streets.
o Force the other players to define their hands.
 
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theDEEPdish
Old 08-04-2006, 05:16 AM #13 (permalink)  
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I wouldn't regret a fold here, and i wouldn't regret a call
really comes down to what you know about him
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aislephive
Old 08-04-2006, 02:01 PM #14 (permalink)  
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Please call here, he probably has two pair. He might have 34 or a set, and this is why you raise preflop to narrow his range.
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Renton
Old 08-04-2006, 02:50 PM #15 (permalink)  
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BTW I said "I can fold here" meaning that I could seriously think about it, and if I knew enough about his play I could consider folding.

The standard play is to call ofc.
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Rockymv
Old 08-04-2006, 04:18 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Normally this would be an easy raise pf for me, but the table was falling apart and I was just donking around until the BB got back to me so I could leave (great idea, huh?).

His reraise was a huge overbet, so I figured a weak two pair trying to protect itself on a drawy board. His flop aggression factor was pretty big (though this can be deceptive), so I made the call.

Another question: If his reraise had been smaller, should I be more or less likely to fold? i. e. does a larger bet usually signify crappy two pair as it suffers from more reverse implied odds and a tag is likely to know this?
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