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Set?

  
 
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Unibomber14
Old 09-08-2007, 09:15 AM     Post subject: Set? #1 (permalink)  
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Set mostly, and overpair the rest right?

I put him on QQ+, maybe 99? Is a fold good? Can someone run me through the math?


STAGE #756463336: HOLDEM NO LIMIT $0.10 - 2007-09-08 01:33:44 (ET)
Table: HAMPTON AVE (Real Money) Seat #6 is the dealer
Seat 6 - LANCERS1630 ($2.80 in chips)
Seat 1 - RAKEMAN236 ($30.76 in chips)
Seat 2 - UNIBOMBER14 ($26.43 in chips)
Seat 4 - LP_PLAYER ($10.55 in chips)
Seat 5 - QUEENRA3245 ($7.25 in chips)
RAKEMAN236 - Posts small blind $0.05
UNIBOMBER14 - Posts big blind $0.10
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to UNIBOMBER14 [8h 8d]
LP_PLAYER - Folds
QUEENRA3245 - Calls $0.10
LANCERS1630 - Calls $0.10
RAKEMAN236 - Raises $1.35 to $1.40
UNIBOMBER14 - Calls $1.30
QUEENRA3245 - Folds
LANCERS1630 - Folds
*** FLOP *** [9s 6h 4h]
RAKEMAN236 - Bets $3.90
UNIBOMBER14 - Raises $9 to $9
RAKEMAN236 - All-In(Raise) $25.46 to $29.36
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Kagey
Old 09-08-2007, 10:39 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I think his range is larger than that 10 10+. How is he playing his draws? What are his stats? His overbet on the flop suggest he doesn't have a draw, but it's possible. More probably you have 2 outs against an overpair. I fold unless I have a read that a large enough percentage of his range is make up of smaller PPs and unpaired overcards.
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Pelion
Old 09-08-2007, 11:30 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Well hes been a coherent story the whole way through that hes strong so unless you have a read that he gets tricky (i.e. bluffs / slowplays) then its a really easy fold. Even if youve seen him bluff once or twice this is a pretty easy fold. The only way you could call is if you had a read that he plays backwards (Always slowplays big hands / always bluffs shite + draws) and even then most draws on this board that he would raise preflop have alot of equity against 88 with at least one overcard. You arent even ahead of A X after a PFR since X is almost always going to be bigger than an 8.
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Miffed22001
Old 09-08-2007, 12:22 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 if youre going to do anything here you'd call the flop, but raising it up after all those limpers suggests he has a big hand.
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Pelion
Old 09-08-2007, 12:29 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I forgot to say I think the best way to play it is to assume he has a hand preflop and then just set or forget (unless youve seen him open this much preflop before).
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
 
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bigspenda73
Old 09-08-2007, 02:11 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 calling the flop and raising a lot of turn cards seems better, a lot of scare cards come in on the turn.
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Deanglow
Old 09-08-2007, 02:35 PM #7 (permalink)  
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 This is an easy fold. I would set or forget here. His massive raise pre-flop and push over on the flop is an overpair.
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Unibomber14
Old 09-08-2007, 10:50 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Easy fold is what I went for.

On a side note, I misclicked the call button and won when he showed 33. My first good misclick ever.
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