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Rivered nut straight on paired board.

  
 
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bdawg56kg
Old 06-13-2006, 09:50 AM     Post subject: Rivered nut straight on paired board. #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is 37/10, and based on what I've seen and some of his comments, I don't think he's very good. He has been running hot and I doubled him up earlier when I b/3-b AI with AA on a 358 monotone flop. He had 33 and I lost. On the river it's about $430 for me to call. Keep in mind that this is 3-handed.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (3 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero ($562.95)
SB ($1066)
BB ($160.15)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, Q.
Hero raises to $16, SB calls $14, 1 fold.

Flop: ($36) 4, J, 9 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $24, SB raises to $56, Hero calls $32.

Turn: ($148) J (2 players)
SB bets $56, Hero calls $56.

River: ($260) T (2 players)
SB bets $938 (All-In), Hero ?
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jackvance
Old 06-13-2006, 10:20 AM #2 (permalink)  
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To me this really looks like he has a monster. My guess would be J9/99. It's so tempting to call that it's probably bad.. I haven't really seen people play bluffs like this too often..
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Renton
Old 06-13-2006, 10:32 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Any reason why you called the flop? I doubt you're taking this pot away if you don't hit.
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Robert
Old 06-13-2006, 12:10 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Renton
Any reason why you called the flop? I doubt you're taking this pot away if you don't hit.
implied odds and position. But I agree with renton, I think I fold the flop too.
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dsaxton
Old 06-13-2006, 06:55 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I'd fold the flop against a poor player.

On the river, it's highly unlikely that even a weaker player is doing this with just trip J's. And with the strength he showed on the flop, it's even likelier you're looking at a full house. I would just fold.
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Lukie
Old 06-13-2006, 06:58 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Renton
Any reason why you called the flop? I doubt you're taking this pot away if you don't hit.
Deep stacks, bad opponent, draw to the nuts, backdoor draw to the effective nuts, and overcard value (which may or may not be good), and metagame purposes make this a good call IMO.

Truthfully, I think this river is a call. Your line doesn't exactly scream strength, and this is a bad player in a 3-handed game. Plus, in his mind, the ten doesn't really complete any draws. I call.
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Lukie
Old 06-13-2006, 07:01 PM #7 (permalink)  
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and I doubled him up earlier when I b/3-b AI with AA on a 358 monotone flop. He had 33 and I lost.
Why are we b3bai'ing with AA on a 358r board ?

send me the HH sometime.
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dsaxton
Old 06-13-2006, 07:08 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Well, I guess if you factor in that K's and Q's are very often legitimate outs, I think calling a virtual minraise is probably not bad.
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bdawg56kg
Old 06-13-2006, 08:32 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dsaxton
On the river, it's highly unlikely that even a weaker player is doing this with just trip J's. And with the strength he showed on the flop, it's even likelier you're looking at a full house. I would just fold.
Can you explain why his line looks like a boat and not just trips?
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bdawg56kg
Old 06-13-2006, 08:34 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lukie
Truthfully, I think this river is a call. Your line doesn't exactly scream strength, and this is a bad player in a 3-handed game. Plus, in his mind, the ten doesn't really complete any draws. I call.
I agree. I was running so terribly and at the time it felt like anything I'd do would be a disaster. If I call, surely he'll show 44/J9 and I lose another big pot. So I timed out and folded. But looking back I think it's v close, but leaning toward a call.
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dsaxton
Old 06-13-2006, 08:46 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bdawg56kg
Quote:
Originally Posted by dsaxton
On the river, it's highly unlikely that even a weaker player is doing this with just trip J's. And with the strength he showed on the flop, it's even likelier you're looking at a full house. I would just fold.
Can you explain why his line looks like a boat and not just trips?
Because it's a huge overbet. Even poorer players rarely make these bets on paired boards without full houses. Plus, the size of the bet gives you incredibly bad odds.
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Lukie
Old 06-13-2006, 09:05 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lukie
Quote:
and I doubled him up earlier when I b/3-b AI with AA on a 358 monotone flop. He had 33 and I lost.
Why are we b3bai'ing with AA on a 358r board ?

send me the HH sometime.
I swear to god it said 358 rainbow flop before. No joke.
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aislephive
Old 06-13-2006, 10:06 PM #13 (permalink)  
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I'm folding here, overbets like this are almost always monsters.
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