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Raise/Fold or Raise/Call? 200NL

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  1. #1

    Default Raise/Fold or Raise/Call? 200NL

    My session stats is 18.6/13.2/af3.69/3bet2.6 751 hands

    The villain is 31/19/af1.1/3bet6.3 463 hands

    His range on river?

    Raise/Fold or Raise/Call?

    Sizing is everything because if you raise too big you have to call a shove.

    $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

    Hero (CO): $402.25 (201.1 bb)
    BTN: $394.15 (197.1 bb)
    SB: $203 (101.5 bb)
    BB: $201.55 (100.8 bb)
    UTG: $200 (100 bb)
    MP: $93.35 (46.7 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 9
    2 folds, Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, BB calls $4

    Flop: ($13) A A T (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero checks

    Turn: ($13) J (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero checks

    River: ($13) 9 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $6.50, BB raises to $32.50, Hero ???
  2. #2
    af 1.1 he's prob got KQ or a boat
  3. #3
    Vi-Zer0Skill's Avatar
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    definitely bet/call, his river range is Ax/straight/boat
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  4. #4
    Fnord's Avatar
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    His line is kind of FoS too.

    Yeah, look him up.
  5. #5
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    I probably couldn't resist the urge to 3bet this river.


  6. #6
    if you 3bet, do you click it back or make it around $70 and fold to a shove?
  7. #7
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bspahn View Post
    if you 3bet, do you click it back or make it around $70 and fold to a shove?
    Depends, but say around $80 and probably not folding the very best hand in my range if he jams, but my presence at the table seems to have a very peculiar tilting effect on loose-passive players, I have no idea why.


  8. #8
    prob bet/folding 9$ on the river, when u half pot it looks so weak i guess u gotta sigh call
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  9. #9
    u say sigh call because player is very passive and you're only beating KQ right?
  10. #10
    griffey24's Avatar
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    Seems like an easy b/c here. I don't think I'd be 3betting when we lose to quite a few possible hands.
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  11. #11
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    Yeah for the record b/c is standard, but these guys just never check it to me thrice EVER and a 3bet could induce some spew if villain is capable. A canadian with these stats is going to have AJ or aces every time he 4bets ldo. A Scandi fish not so much.


  12. #12
    Guys with his stats will have something else than a boat maybe 10% of the time, regardless of what we assume his range to be because he checked to us thrice. I think.


    edit: yeah if he's scandi it must be a call... i also misread his stats for 31/13, but wtv he's still pretty passive. Still think u gotta call when u bet this small
    Last edited by Alexos; 05-03-2012 at 12:33 AM.
    Nine to five is how to survive - I ain't trying to survive / I'm trying to live it to the limit and love it a lot //

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  13. #13
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    Results or two day tempban. Also do we know country of villain?


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