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Pot odds/implied odds

  
 
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Old 06-25-2009, 09:05 AM     Post subject: Pot odds/implied odds #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is a donk, so when he min 3b I'd say his most likely hands are KK+
some of the less likely hands are AJ+ and TT-QQ
and air some of the time

on the flop I felt that since he instapotted it, he probably had AK, QQ, KK or AA and KQ once in a blue moon
I had 1/6 chance to stack him on the turn, so if you do the math it's 15.50 to win a $120 pot so my flop call should have positive expectation
shoving flop is out of the question, he never folds whatever he bets full pot with (especially given that he min3b)
calling turn is also out of the question that card didn't really help us

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($213.70)
UTG ($100)
Hero (MP) ($113.25)
CO ($63.60)
Button ($134.95)
SB ($103.70)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A, 2
1 fold, Hero bets $3.50, CO raises to $7, 3 folds, Hero calls $3.50

Flop: ($15.50) K, 9, Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $15.50, Hero calls $15.50

Turn: ($46.50) A (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $41.10 (All-In), Hero folds

Total pot: $46.50 | Rake: $2.30

how do you like it?
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knaplek
Old 06-25-2009, 11:42 AM #2 (permalink)  
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knaplek
Maths error. You're calling 15 to win the 15 in the pot plus 45 remaining in his stack. ie. 4-1
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The Izebox
Old 06-25-2009, 01:19 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I dont like it. Id prefer a c/f on the flop (to a pot size bet like that) but as played I would rather c/r all in than c/c
Me? I always tell the truth.

Even when I lie.
 
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Old 06-25-2009, 01:36 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knaplek
Maths error. You're calling 15 to win the 15 in the pot plus 45 remaining in his stack. ie. 4-1
oh yeah nm I forgot the $45 out of the total pot would be my call
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