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Passive played FD+gutshot hits and I'm not feeling good

  
 
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minSim
Old 11-18-2009, 07:04 AM     Post subject: Passive played FD+gutshot hits and I'm not feeling good #1 (permalink)  
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So villain is 14/13/inf over 38 hands and without reads yet.

Apart from preflop this hand felt dirty as I'm having this weak-tight thinking of nature and am trying to get rid of it.

My thoughtprocess
Flop: I'm calling the cbet because we're multiway, my gutshot is to the nuts and a call will leave worse draws in.
Villain raises, usualy sets and the NFD I'd say. I'm not excluding worse FD's, but discount them a bit. I call because I'm not feeling good about stacking of and worse draws might even fold to a shove.

Turn: Probably the best card in the deck, villain keeps betting which he probably does with the whole range I gave him, so nothing changed except that I'm drawing dead when behind.

River: My plan is basically to c/c up to a 1/2psb. Even T9 isn't possibly anymore after turn so I really don't beat much. I wasn't sure villain is good enough to not bet a worse FD here though.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($69.95)
Hero (CO) ($85.55)
Button ($69.10)
SB ($50)
BB ($74.45)
UTG ($50.75)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, J
1 fold, MP bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, Button calls $1.50, 1 fold, BB calls $1

Flop: ($6.25) K, 9, 2 (4 players)
BB checks, MP bets $3, Hero calls $3, Button raises to $10.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $7.50

Turn: ($30.25) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $16.50, Hero calls $16.50

River: ($63.25) A (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $29.50, Hero calls $29.50


Any comments from flop on are welcome. I'm especially interested in the option of raising the cbet looking to get it in.
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dranger7070
Old 11-18-2009, 11:34 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Well on the flop, after calling the c-bet, it comes back around and you are getting almost 4:1 on your call, so its def a +EV call. The turn is ONE of the best cards in the deck, the only one that would be better is the T, as that gives you the nuts with a redraw to the flush (which if he has a better draw, you can get a LOT of value out of by c/r).

It seems fine.
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