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Paired flop, turned nut flush vs double c/r-ing maniac.

  
 
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Halv
Old 02-20-2007, 01:18 AM     Post subject: Paired flop, turned nut flush vs double c/r-ing maniac. #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 68/33/3.6 over 60 hands or so. Hero has probably been TAG. No read.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero ($398)
SB ($502.70)
BB ($1966.15)
UTG ($480.60)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q, K. SB posts a blind of $2.
1 fold, Hero raises to $12, 1 fold, BB calls $8.

Flop: ($26) 8, 8, A (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $19, BB raises to $40, Hero calls $21.

Turn: ($106) 2 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $71, BB raises to $156, Hero ?

First music vid: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFerARdGW04
Free stream of different song here: http://www.nrk.no/urort/artist/wellfear ('Lytt'/play button on right side)
 
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gabe
Old 02-20-2007, 01:39 AM #2 (permalink)  
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his stats seem crazy so i would stick it in now. yea he could have a boat and be playing it like a genius but that is not usually the case. he can be value raising worse hands.
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 02-20-2007, 02:03 AM #3 (permalink)  
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if the guys been that crazy over 60 hands i stick the rest in. I think this is a bluff like 50% of the time.
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jackvance
Old 02-20-2007, 02:16 AM #4 (permalink)  
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He didn't reraise preflop so no AA, most likely 8x, and if he indeed has A8 that would just suck but I would get it in although not too happy about it ofcourse. Does he raise his draws? If so he might have a worse flush. I also noticed his stack is 500BB, that combined with these crazy stats makes for a guy who will go for thin value expecting to be paid off by people who are riled by his constant aggression, so you have a very good chance to be ahead here imo.
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Halv
Old 02-20-2007, 02:42 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Ok so we don't fold this hand against this guy. Do we stick it in now or give him a chance to bluff the river?

First music vid: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFerARdGW04
Free stream of different song here: http://www.nrk.no/urort/artist/wellfear ('Lytt'/play button on right side)
 
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gabe
Old 02-20-2007, 03:09 AM #6 (permalink)  
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stick it in for sure, hope he calls with AoXs or 8x or worse flush
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Halv
Old 02-20-2007, 03:29 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Okay, that's what I did. Of course he did have the boat this time but I'm ok with going broke here. Thoughts on flop play?

First music vid: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFerARdGW04
Free stream of different song here: http://www.nrk.no/urort/artist/wellfear ('Lytt'/play button on right side)
 
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 02-20-2007, 03:30 AM #8 (permalink)  
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I'm almost positive this guy has a worse flush.
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jackvance
Old 02-20-2007, 03:34 AM #9 (permalink)  
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I fold the flop to his raise.. hunting flushes on a paired board isn't all that great.
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gabe
Old 02-20-2007, 03:53 AM #10 (permalink)  
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what boat did he have
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Halv
Old 02-20-2007, 04:01 AM #11 (permalink)  
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The flopped one. I like how he played it.

First music vid: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFerARdGW04
Free stream of different song here: http://www.nrk.no/urort/artist/wellfear ('Lytt'/play button on right side)
 
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