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NL100 good spot to bluff raise with some history?

  
 
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mg0698
Old 07-29-2009, 06:01 PM     Post subject: NL100 good spot to bluff raise with some history? #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is 21/16/1 over 927 hands. Flop CB is 53% turn CB 73% (11 sample size)


Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $100.00
Hero (BTN): $100.00
SB: $104.80
BB: $167.25
UTG: $68.95

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with 2 cards
1 fold, CO raises to $3, Hero calls $3, 2 folds

Flop: ($7.50) 2 A 8 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($7.50) 8 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks

River: ($7.50) 4 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks

Final Pot: $7.50
CO shows Q Q (two pair, Queens and Eights)
Hero mucks 2 cards
CO wins $7.15
(Rake: $0.35)

The real hand

Any one fire the turn?

so from the HH above we can conclude that he will fire air on the flop but won't fire if he has SD value. Even though i may fold out hands i beat i think it's better than floating and letting him keep firing no?


Anyone fire a blank turn if called?

Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: $104.15
Hero (MP): $102.80
CO: $104.30
BTN: $165.75
SB: $67.95
BB: $153.50

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP with 5 5
UTG raises to $4, Hero calls $4, 4 folds

Flop: ($9.50) 8 3 Q (2 players)
UTG bets $6, Hero raises to $16
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Parasurama
Old 07-29-2009, 06:37 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I like the intent but 55 is just not a good hand to do this with.
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griffey24
Old 07-29-2009, 06:50 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 hand 1
-value bet river


hand 2
-If you're going to bluff you have to be credibly repping something. As far as I can tell, you're repping 2 hands (333,888) and sometimes QQQ if you slowplayed pre
-You probably aren't even playing AQ like this too often given that he's UTG
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bspahn
Old 07-29-2009, 08:30 PM #4 (permalink)  
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like you said from the earlier hand, if he raises and checks he prob pot controls with weaker hands with showdown value.

then his strong value bet hands he cbets and barrels almost every time (from the stats)

this makes hand2 a bad spot to pure bluff.
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Marshall28
Old 07-29-2009, 09:15 PM #5 (permalink)  
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hand 1, how can you bluff raise if villain never bets? .... obviously fire flop and/or turn when he checks as PFR.

hand 2, your bluff reps very very little, AQ/KQ that didn't 3bet, sets, and a FD. You should expect to get played back at or called down light here pretty often.
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