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LC...flop a set on monotone.

  
 
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benny999
Old 07-25-2006, 03:09 PM     Post subject: LC...flop a set on monotone. #1 (permalink)  
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Reads: BB has been taggy around 22/16, but overvaluing top pair/overpair in pots against UTG, because UTG plays 90% of his hands and is a mega-call-station post flop. If UTG hits the turn or river he goes all in, and BB has called a couple of these which built most of UTG's big stack. So...a good chance BB is tilting. I have an abc tag image, around 20/11 stats.

I think I played too scared on this one, with too small of a flop raise and turn bet. I'm especially wondering what you do on the river...


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Stack sizes:
UTG: $421.60
Hero: $144.80
Button: $177.60
SB: $94
BB: $98.50

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is CO with 5 5
UTG calls, Hero calls, Button folds, SB calls, BB checks.

Flop: 5 T J ($4, 4 players)
SB checks, BB bets $2.5, UTG calls, Hero raises to $10, SB folds, BB calls, UTG calls.

Turn: 2 ($34, 3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $24, BB calls, UTG folds.

River: 9 ($82, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero???
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bair
Old 07-25-2006, 03:46 PM #2 (permalink)  
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 07-25-2006, 03:55 PM #3 (permalink)  
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i check behind, there isn't a lot more value you can safely extract.
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johnny_fish
Old 07-25-2006, 04:06 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Push.
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Rockymv
Old 07-25-2006, 04:19 PM #5 (permalink)  
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lol some divergent opinions here. I think you've got the best hand 95% of the time. Bet something that 2 pair will be able to call.
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gabe
Old 07-25-2006, 05:25 PM #6 (permalink)  
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PUSH
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andy-akb
Old 07-25-2006, 06:04 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rockymv
lol some divergent opinions here. I think you've got the best hand 95% of the time. Bet something that 2 pair will be able to call.
Given the size of the pot and our effective stack sizes if we are betting it should be a push.

I cant imagine a push is -EV here, a hand like TJ is very possible.
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benny999
Old 07-25-2006, 10:18 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Thanks guys. I was too tired in this hand and kinda scared from being new to 100nl, and basically wussed out checking behind I was thinking he played top pair fast, so might play a flush or rivered str8 slow. That really doesn't make sense. Playing tired/scared sucks.

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Originally Posted by andy-akb
Given the size of the pot and our effective stack sizes if we are betting it should be a push.
Why should a bet be a push? I don't know for sure what you mean about stack sizes and pot size (that if I bet less and raised I should call, so therefore just push?).

The thing is it might cause some worse hands in his range (pair/draw or low two pair) to fold, because of how tight I've played so far. But he's probably too focused at his tilt at UTG. Anyway, don't get me wrong, I like the idea of pushing, because the majority of villain's range of worse hands will probably call it.
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Warpe
Old 07-25-2006, 10:29 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by benny999
Thanks guys. I was too tired in this hand and kinda scared from being new to 100nl, and basically wussed out checking behind I was thinking he played top pair fast, so might play a flush or rivered str8 slow. That really doesn't make sense. Playing tired/scared sucks.

Quote:
Originally Posted by andy-akb
Given the size of the pot and our effective stack sizes if we are betting it should be a push.
Why should a bet be a push? I don't know for sure what you mean about stack sizes and pot size (that if I bet less and raised I should call, so therefore just push?).
$82 pot, he's got about ~$64 behind, any meaningful bet is going to be north of $40 so you might as well just push.
 
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