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A-Ko 200NL

  
 
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Vi-Zer0Skill
Old 10-13-2007, 06:28 AM     Post subject: A-Ko 200NL #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is a 15/10 regular. Not sure that he would percieve me as playing unusually, since i have ran some bluffs and shown down a reasonable amount of good hands at tables he has been at. I can't think of any big pots i have played with him that have gone to showdown.

I wrote a post a little while ago about good spots to double barrel, and the funny thing is i used a spot like this as a bad spot to fire another bet.

Turn bet good? If he calls here do i c/f any river?


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($117)
Hero ($225.95)
MP ($277.05)
Button ($162.20)
SB ($390.45)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, A.
Hero raises to $8, MP calls $8, 1 fold, SB calls $7, 1 fold.

Flop: ($26) 3, 8, 8 (3 players)
SB bets $6, Hero raises to $24, MP calls $24, SB folds.

Turn: ($80) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $52
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carroters
Ambition is fucking great, but you're trying to dig up gold with a rocket launcher and are going to blow the whole lot to shit unless you refine your tools
 
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gabe
Old 10-13-2007, 07:22 AM #2 (permalink)  
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i like it vs a nit, hope you are prepared to shove the river!!
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Genitruc
Old 10-13-2007, 07:42 AM #3 (permalink)  
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this takes a very specific read w history to know if it s good or not

lots of ppl just won t fold FH's

lots of nits will call the turn but not the river

since it s tough to know what he thinks of you then it s kind of useless to talk about the hand

against the avg nit I think you have to fire the river if you fire the turn
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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benny999
Old 10-13-2007, 08:31 AM #4 (permalink)  
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i think its ok too but u must go all in on the river if u bet the turn.

tho a 15/10 prob has more trouble folding any sort of overpair than say 20/15 and may not 3bet TT-QQ.
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Vi-Zer0Skill
Old 10-13-2007, 06:24 PM #5 (permalink)  
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You guys all think i should shove the river huh...

If he calls my turn bet, wouldn't it be a big mistake for him to fold to my river bet? I don't see how my range changes between the turn/river.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carroters
Ambition is fucking great, but you're trying to dig up gold with a rocket launcher and are going to blow the whole lot to shit unless you refine your tools
 
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 10-13-2007, 06:39 PM #6 (permalink)  
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I kind of like half pot turn 3/4th pot river.
Check out the new blog!!!
 
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gabe
Old 10-13-2007, 07:17 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vi-Zer0Skill
You guys all think i should shove the river huh...

If he calls my turn bet, wouldn't it be a big mistake for him to fold to my river bet? I don't see how my range changes between the turn/river.
hes a tight player so hes probably at least decent at reading hands. when you shove riv he'll think for sure you arent bluffing
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Genitruc
Old 10-13-2007, 08:43 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vi-Zer0Skill
You guys all think i should shove the river huh...

If he calls my turn bet, wouldn't it be a big mistake for him to fold to my river bet? I don't see how my range changes between the turn/river.
hes a tight player so hes probably at least decent at reading hands. when you shove riv he'll think for sure you arent bluffing
ding
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Vi-Zer0Skill
Old 10-13-2007, 10:53 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Off Topic: If villain is holding a mid pair, is he better off folding the flop than calling me down? The 8 wasn't a bad turn card, but he still can't like that i bet on it. Because once he calls the flop with a mid pair, i can't see anything other than calling me down (barring a Queen, King, or Ace coming on the board) as being correct.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carroters
Ambition is fucking great, but you're trying to dig up gold with a rocket launcher and are going to blow the whole lot to shit unless you refine your tools
 
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Genitruc
Old 10-14-2007, 12:00 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vi-Zer0Skill
Off Topic: If villain is holding a mid pair, is he better off folding the flop than calling me down? The 8 wasn't a bad turn card, but he still can't like that i bet on it. Because once he calls the flop with a mid pair, i can't see anything other than calling me down (barring a Queen, King, or Ace coming on the board) as being correct.
completely disagree

he s just getting more info as the hand goes on; no need to make a decision for your stack by calling the flop with a pair vs an aggro villain

An approach that lends itself to "well if I was good on the flop, I'm obv still good so folding would be a mistake" seems pretty bad. By calling 1 barrel but not two, or 2 barrels but not 3, he's forcing you to make a play that not very many players, even aggressive ones, are capable of making at the lowstakes.
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Vi-Zer0Skill
Old 10-14-2007, 01:14 AM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genitruc
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vi-Zer0Skill
Off Topic: If villain is holding a mid pair, is he better off folding the flop than calling me down? The 8 wasn't a bad turn card, but he still can't like that i bet on it. Because once he calls the flop with a mid pair, i can't see anything other than calling me down (barring a Queen, King, or Ace coming on the board) as being correct.
completely disagree

he s just getting more info as the hand goes on; no need to make a decision for your stack by calling the flop with a pair vs an aggro villain

An approach that lends itself to "well if I was good on the flop, I'm obv still good so folding would be a mistake" seems pretty bad. By calling 1 barrel but not two, or 2 barrels but not 3, he's forcing you to make a play that not very many players, even aggressive ones, are capable of making at the lowstakes.
i am so happy i posted this because it has started me thinking about spots to fire three barrels. I don't really do it as a bluff more than once in a couple thousand hands, but i imagine i have passed up on many good opportunities.

would you say though that my thinking would be correct in a game filled with very strong players genitruc? I interpret your post as saying that his call is good as he is anticipating i will make the mistake of not firing three streets (he may not be thinking this but someone who was decent might). And clearly i would have made the mistake, but now i am much less likely to do so. And tomorrow i will likely still be playing low stakes
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carroters
Ambition is fucking great, but you're trying to dig up gold with a rocket launcher and are going to blow the whole lot to shit unless you refine your tools
 
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Genitruc
Old 10-14-2007, 01:21 AM #12 (permalink)  
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in an aggressive game I think you'll get looked up a pretty good % of the time from a thinking aggressive villain with JJ or less (obv it's hard for an aggro villain to get to the turn or river this way w JJ but that s not the point).

At that point though, things depend much more on flow and history. The reason I think it's a good spot to fire 3 barrels vs a random nit is because they seem to fold a surprising amount to the 3rd barrel when you have AA or KK.
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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