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KK turned set ugly river

  
 
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freechus9
Old 06-15-2008, 04:17 PM     Post subject: KK turned set ugly river #1 (permalink)  
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villain is 32/0/2

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($29.50)
BB ($21.90)
Hero ($44.35)
MP ($23.65)
CO ($32.95)
Button ($12.90)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, K.
Hero raises to $1, 4 folds, BB calls $0.75.

Flop: ($2.10) 9, T, 4 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB calls $2.

Turn: ($6.10) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $4, BB calls $4.

River: ($14.10) Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero
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kettleofish
Old 06-15-2008, 04:46 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Edited because i'd seen into the future!
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freechus9
Old 06-15-2008, 04:48 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Fixed.
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ATOTHEC101
Old 06-15-2008, 04:54 PM #4 (permalink)  
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lol i already know results but id also be tempted to check behind river as the jack is a large part of his range and if you bet river your basically commited to calling a shove in the knowledge your beat. Id also bet more on turn, closer to pot rather than 3/4s.
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pankfish
Old 06-15-2008, 05:53 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I like shoving this river to get looked up by two pair hands that didn't want to value bet but are going to call. If he got there with a jack in his hand he is getting our monies anyway. There is also like a 15% chance(out of my a55) that he folds a naked J here even though we never have AJ.
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thizzSantaCruz
Old 06-15-2008, 06:10 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pankfish
I like shoving this river to get looked up by two pair hands that didn't want to value bet but are going to call. If he got there with a jack in his hand he is getting our monies anyway. There is also like a 15% chance(out of my a55) that he folds a naked J here even though we never have AJ.

look at villains stats. we never get a fold out of a jack. I bet it because he is a station and will call with two pair.
Flopping quads and boats like its my job
 
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Fnord
Old 06-15-2008, 06:42 PM     Post subject: Re: KK turned set ugly river #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freechus9
villain is 32/0/2
Bet/fold. EZ game.
 
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pankfish
Old 06-15-2008, 06:46 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thizzSantaCruz
Quote:
Originally Posted by pankfish
I like shoving this river to get looked up by two pair hands that didn't want to value bet but are going to call. If he got there with a jack in his hand he is getting our monies anyway. There is also like a 15% chance(out of my a55) that he folds a naked J here even though we never have AJ.

look at villains stats. we never get a fold out of AJ. I bet it because he is a station and will call with two pair.
I said a Jack. I don't expect anyone to fold the nuts. The BB has under 15 bucks left on river. What size bet do you want to make that you can bet/fold with? We can bet 7 dollars if we think it's more likely to get called, but I don't think I can fold to what is effectively a minraise on the river.
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thizzSantaCruz
Old 06-15-2008, 08:07 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pankfish
Quote:
Originally Posted by thizzSantaCruz
Quote:
Originally Posted by pankfish
I like shoving this river to get looked up by two pair hands that didn't want to value bet but are going to call. If he got there with a jack in his hand he is getting our monies anyway. There is also like a 15% chance(out of my a55) that he folds a naked J here even though we never have AJ.

look at villains stats. we never get a fold out of AJ. I bet it because he is a station and will call with two pair.
I said a Jack. I don't expect anyone to fold the nuts. The BB has under 15 bucks left on river. What size bet do you want to make that you can bet/fold with? We can bet 7 dollars if we think it's more likely to get called, but I don't think I can fold to what is effectively a minraise on the river.


Yea sorry dude I was extremely hung over this morning when I wrote that post. I meant he is never folding a jack.
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Genitruc
Old 06-15-2008, 09:09 PM #10 (permalink)  
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10$
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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noble007
Old 06-16-2008, 10:57 AM #11 (permalink)  
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yeah bet fold the river or check behind if you cant stomach folding your set to a check raise.
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nutsinho
Old 06-16-2008, 11:11 AM #12 (permalink)  
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just bet 6$ and fold to raise but potting turn and shoving river would be better
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zook
Old 06-16-2008, 03:36 PM #13 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nutsinho
just bet 6$ and fold to raise but potting turn and shoving river would be better
+1
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