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Irisheyes
Old 09-22-2008, 11:46 PM     Post subject: Keep on truckin' #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 29/11/1.3. Hardly ever check/raises the flop. WTSD is 26% over 1.1k. He called the flop and turn bets double quick-time.

$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($568.44)
CO ($707.13)
Hero ($417.50)
SB ($365.25)
BB ($406.18)

Pre-flop: ($6, 5 players) Hero is BTN
1 fold, CO calls $4, Hero raises to $18, 2 folds, CO calls $14

Flop: ($42, 2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $28, CO calls $28

I give him Ax/FD/8x/88

Turn: ($98, 2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $64, CO calls $64

I think he calls FD's sometimes and folds them sometimes. Folds 8x and calls Ax hopefully planning to fold to a big bet on the river. FWIW I didn't have stats when I played this hand and now that I see his aggression factor this is obviously better as a check behind because I never get bluffed off the best hand on the river.

River: ($226, 2 players)
CO checks, Hero goes all-in $307.50,

He folds his FD's and some Ax shit.
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wufwugy
Old 09-22-2008, 11:58 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 what are you doing on river? he folds zero Ax.

turn is fine tho.
 
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silu73
Old 09-23-2008, 12:01 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Turn bet is good but would not fold Ax in this spot. I rather check behind on the river. Timing tells point towards Ax.
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zook
Old 09-23-2008, 02:01 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Meh, timing tells could be Ax or fd. I think he folds enough Ax to make this ok, but I don't think you need to shove, same fold equity with $150 imo.
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Fnord
Old 09-23-2008, 02:13 AM #5 (permalink)  
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So you think he'll fold Ax to a push, but call $150?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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wufwugy
Old 09-23-2008, 02:16 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 station aint folding no ace
 
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