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I really want to call..
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johnny_fish
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06-13-2006, 09:25 PM
Post subject: I really want to call..
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: donkaments weeeeeeeeeeee
Posts: 2,186
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.. But should I?
Pacific 5-handed 600NL, all decent stacks. CO posts a dead blind so I raise QTo UTG, CO and BN calls.
80$ in pot, flop Tc2s7s, I bet 50, BN calls. BN is an average player, I doubled up on him earlier when I c/r'ed the river with AA on a 99AT8 board (he called with QJ). Don't know if it's very relevant though, it's been 2hrs ago or something. I wasn't paying attention a lot so I don't know much more about him. We both have ~1K stacks.
Turn 180$ in pot. Tc2s7s4d, I check/call a 120$ bet.
River 420$ in pot. Tc2s7s4d9h, I check, Villain bets 420$.
Something doesn't add up here.
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aislephive
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Downswinging holla!
Posts: 1,523
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Very close decision, but I think this is a call. The board is filled with plenty of flush / straight draws on the flop, and every draw missed. If he had a set or two pair he almost certainly raises the flop if he is any good because of how draw heavy the board is, aka tons of action killing cards. He probably doesn't bet AT on the river, but if he did he would certainly bet smaller since no worse hands will be calling most likely. So in my mind it' either a set, T9, or a busted draw, with a busted draw being most likely.
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johnny_fish
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: donkaments weeeeeeeeeeee
Posts: 2,186
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That was my reasoning more or less too, so I called. He showed 99, blegh. The stupid part is that I'd probably fold to a 200$ bet..
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