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how spew are these bluffs?

  
 
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griffey24
Old 03-26-2007, 04:05 AM     Post subject: how spew are these bluffs? #1 (permalink)  
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Hand 1:
-villain is a solid player 25/10/2.11
-he's capable of making a fold, he often "slow plays" overpairs by flat calling my raises since i'm raising pretty often 30/25ish, and then raising my cont bets
-he has called/raised flops before and then folded to later street agression

Cryptologic
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $109.75
Hero: $98.50
Button: $193.75
SB: $89.75
BB: $117.99

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is CO with
UTG folds, Hero raises to $4, Button calls, 2 folds.

Flop: ($9.5, 2 players)
Hero bets $6.75, Button raises to $16, Hero calls.

Turn: ($41.5, 2 players)
Hero bets $23.5, Button calls.

River: ($88.5, 2 players)
Hero is all-in $55


Hand 2:
-Button is pretty solid, 23/7/1.7, not too aggressive. I put him on a low/mid pocket on the flop
-BB no real reads, new to the table, 35/11 so far


Cryptologic
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: $150
CO: $230.75
Button: $53.80
SB: $46.50
BB: $99.13

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is UTG with
Hero raises to $4, CO folds, Button calls, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: ($12.5, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $11.5, Button calls, BB calls.

Turn: ($47, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $38.3
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
 
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gabe
Old 03-26-2007, 04:16 AM #2 (permalink)  
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first one sucks, sucks to play out of position, doenst it???

2nd is fine
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Genitruc
Old 03-26-2007, 04:20 AM #3 (permalink)  
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I think 1st one is lighting money on fire.

2nd one seems o.k. to me.

edit : lol next time I'll read other replies before spewing out exactly what gabe said.
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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griffey24
Old 03-26-2007, 04:28 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genitruc
I think 1st one is lighting money on fire.
lol.. I like this reply. Ok so why is the first one so bad? what do we put villain on here? what could he call a push with? I think if I was villain, I'd fold a high pocket in this spot even. I think the turn call was with a made hand or 1 decent spade.

<edit: should i have planned this bluff out better. ie: bet less on the turn, so that if called, my push was bigger on the river? would that make it better?>

So the second one is ok, even though it is into two players?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
 
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 03-26-2007, 05:09 AM #5 (permalink)  
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i like the second one.
first one he has a 3 here a lot.
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Genitruc
Old 03-26-2007, 08:19 AM #6 (permalink)  
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The big problem with the 1st one is that once villain calls the turn he's pretty much saying "I'm not scared of the flush and I'm pricing myself in".

That's why it seems bad to me. If he folded, then sweet. But I'd doubt he did (probably called w 88 LOL).

For this same reason, I don't think it matter at all about bet-sizing on turn/river. It's more about villain telling you"I wanna fold" or "LOL I'm calling". Usually when a villain takes this line it's the latter.
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Halv
Old 03-26-2007, 08:45 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genitruc
edit : lol next time I'll read other replies before spewing out exactly what gabe said.
I actually think replying before reading the rest of the replies is a very good idea.

I'm not sure if I like hand 2, as we need to fold out two people.

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griffey24
Old 03-26-2007, 11:38 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
i like the second one.
first one he has a 3 here a lot.
Yah, definitely possible he has a 3. Though with the way villain plays (ne _never_ 3-bets three flop it seems), I thought it was probably more likely he had 88-AA here.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Genitruc
For this same reason, I don't think it matter at all about bet-sizing on turn/river. It's more about villain telling you"I wanna fold" or "LOL I'm calling". Usually when a villain takes this line it's the latter.
Lets suppose you guys had an overpair here, with a spade. I donk lead into you on the turn repping the flush and you call trying to say "LOL I'm calling", but really saying "I want you to think i'm calling, so that you don't fire at me again with your nonsense bluff". Doesn't a high spade call this half pot-ish turn with the intention of folding a river "I actually do have a flush" 3/4 pot allin bet?

Or maybe thats just how I would play a high pair, and should be making these river calls more often.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
 
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Genitruc
Old 03-26-2007, 05:00 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Your reasoning is really good.

Problem is that most ppl just suck. So when you post a really sophisticated play like this at .5-1$ most ppl will think LOL@PUSHING PPL OFF OF HANDS.

Based on the read you posted I suppose it's ok.

Btw I think villain is more likely to have a flush himself here than a bare overpair and flat-called the turn fearing a boat.
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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griffey24
Old 03-26-2007, 05:27 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genitruc
Btw I think villain is more likely to have a flush himself here than a bare overpair and flat-called the turn fearing a boat.
Yah you're right, I didn't think of this. He could easily just be letting me hang myself, while he's sitting on a flush in this spot as well.

For what its worth. In the first hand, villain had QQ with the Q of spades. I'm not sure how it would have played out had the Q not hit the river, but clearly I got pwned on the river lol

The second hand, Button called the turn with a set of 4's and the BB folded. The river was a blank, and Button took it down.

yay to bluffing off stacks into set/boats lol

I just wanted to see if these bluffs were good or not, aside from the poor results which ensued.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
 
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zenbitz
Old 03-26-2007, 08:28 PM #11 (permalink)  
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I think QQ with 1 spade might call even if the Q doesn't river. I mean it only allows him to beat a few unlikley hands (KK/AA/77/JJ). Not sure why you called his flop c/r in the first place.
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Galapogos
Old 03-26-2007, 11:06 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Hand #1 sucks because you left him no folding equity on the river.


Quote:
Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
 
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Harry
Old 03-27-2007, 07:06 AM #13 (permalink)  
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I think the 2nd one has a lot more value. I don't like the 1st one... when deciding whether to 2nd and 3rd barrel, you need to put opp on a hand. What hand did you put him on (at the time, not now)?
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griffey24
Old 03-27-2007, 10:38 AM #14 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zenbitz
Not sure why you called his flop c/r in the first place.
It was a flat raise, since i'm OOP, but he had been owning my cont bets with position a lot that day, so calling was purely to steal on a later street. Also, I know this villain is capable of a fold.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Galapogos
Hand #1 sucks because you left him no folding equity on the river.
Yah I think this is one of the bigger problems of the play. I guess I should either bet less on the turn, or only try this with a bigger stack.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
 
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zenbitz
Old 03-27-2007, 08:05 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
Quote:
Originally Posted by zenbitz
Not sure why you called his flop c/r in the first place.
It was a flat raise, since i'm OOP, but he had been owning my cont bets with position a lot that day, so calling was purely to steal on a later street. Also, I know this villain is capable of a fold.
My bad. But I guess bet/raise/call doesn't leave enough behind for a good bluff, unless you overbet push turn (that seems even worse). Maybe check/call or check/raise flop if you feel the need to pull a multi-street bluff 100BB deep??
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elipsesjeff
Old 03-27-2007, 08:38 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
Quote:
Originally Posted by zenbitz
Not sure why you called his flop c/r in the first place.
It was a flat raise, since i'm OOP, but he had been owning my cont bets with position a lot that day, so calling was purely to steal on a later street. Also, I know this villain is capable of a fold.
Reraising the flop to 35 then shutting down when called may be better. But, i've lead this turn sometimes about 2/3's the pot if i think my cbets arent being respected and he's trying to bully me.


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