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Halfstacking hands thread

  
 
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euphoricism
Old 11-05-2007, 08:25 PM     Post subject: Halfstacking hands thread #1 (permalink)  
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I'll probably make one long thread of half stack hands since the people who dont care about halfstacking probably wont want the forum filled with them.


No converter on Cake.

Hand 1
Just sat, unknown villain. 200nl. Just call river?

Hand #1309012093000520: Seville (6-Max) 12093
Seat 1: Alphabeta (178.90 in chips)
Seat 2: Cornholio22 (197.00 in chips)
Seat 4: monavie (200.00 in chips)
Seat 5: godlovesyou (186.95 in chips)
Seat 6: GotNoSteerin (104.40 in chips)
Seat 10: kevmev (67.00 in chips)
godlovesyou: posts small blind $1
GotNoSteerin: posts big blind $2
Dealt to GotNoSteerin [ :Qh: ]
kevmev: folds
Alphabeta: calls
Cornholio22: folds
godlovesyou: folds
GotNoSteerin: checks
*** FLOP *** [ , , :Qs: ]
GotNoSteerin: bets $4
Alphabeta: calls
*** TURN *** [ ]
GotNoSteerin: bets $12
Alphabeta: calls
*** RIVER *** [ ]
GotNoSteerin: bets $35
Alphabeta: raises to $70
GotNoSteerin: is all in

Alphabeta: calls


Hand 2
Shit, lost the hand history for this one, but its ok its simple. Spewy?

Unknown villain. Hero raises 4x with 88 in MP. BTN calls.
Flop 23J rainbow. Hero bets about 3/4 pot. BTN 3x's. Hero shoves.
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Chopper
Old 11-05-2007, 08:32 PM #2 (permalink)  
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i thought you said you were done shorting because of variance? am i misunderstood?

hand one...yes, call, imo. too much shit out for a limped pot. although, i prolly shove, too, out of reflex.

hand two...i prolly fold here to villains raise. when short, i want to do the pushing. but, i prolly dont raise 88 while short, either. pp's go down in value when short. you simply cant set hunt them, and you run into this spot too often.
LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.

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euphoricism
Old 11-05-2007, 08:44 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
i thought you said you were done shorting because of variance? am i misunderstood?

hand one...yes, call, imo. too much shit out for a limped pot. although, i prolly shove, too, out of reflex.

hand two...i prolly fold here to villains raise. when short, i want to do the pushing. but, i prolly dont raise 88 while short, either. pp's go down in value when short. you simply cant set hunt them, and you run into this spot too often.
Nope thats not me.

If we use 10x as a baseline for set camping, then calling 4x preflop raises with 50bb stacks would be fine. Besides, raising preflop isnt the same as set camping. So Im not sure that applies.
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Old 11-05-2007, 11:20 PM #4 (permalink)  
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first hand lol cmon super standard.

second hand idk probably isnt a big deal either way.
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Old 11-06-2007, 12:55 AM #5 (permalink)  
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hand 1: uber standard
hand 2: only if you wanna stack off because villain is never folding.
 
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euphoricism
Old 11-09-2007, 05:43 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Hand 3

Tables have been pretty nitty and I've been raising like a monkey. Villain is 21/15 with a 100% cbet over 50ish hands. I think this flop c/rai is obv standard but i think we should fold pre alot... (and im 70bb deep not 50)

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

saw flop|saw showdown

SB ($118.30)
BB ($214.85)
UTG ($20.05)
MP ($51)
Hero ($78.60)
Button ($100)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, A.
2 folds, Hero raises to $4, Button raises to $14, 2 folds, Hero calls $10.

Flop: ($29.50) A, K, T (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $18, Hero raises to $64.6...
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Old 11-09-2007, 07:26 AM #7 (permalink)  
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hand 3: folding preflop to 3bet or as played is standard.
 
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euphoricism
Old 11-09-2007, 02:35 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Puke-gasm. Villain #1 Swinky is unknown. Villain #2, 2lazy2work is an abysmally poor poker player, loves to check/minraise and then minbet the turn and other junk. Basically thinks poker is about making the biggest bluff. They both cover me.

I've erased irrelevant hand history junk. Its 5 handed.

Hand #1313012285000156: Chelsea (6-Max) 12285
Seat 4: Swinky (99.00 in chips)
Seat 7: GotNoSteerin (56.05 in chips)
Seat 10: 2lazy2work (68.85 in chips)
Swinky: posts small blind $0.50
GotNoSteerin: posts big blind $1
Dealt to GotNoSteerin [ Kd Ah ]
2lazy2work: raises to $7.50 Villains PFR is prob around top 10% here. But it's a pretty big 7.5x raise preflop...
Swinky: calls

GotNoSteerin: raises to $24 see footnote
2lazy2work: calls Basically obvious he doesnt have AA/KK
Swinky: calls
*** FLOP *** [ 9d, 2s, 7h ] Pot is about 75, obv more than my stack
Swinky: is all in Shit. My pot is now about $100
GotNoSteerin Puke/Calls his $30 hoping his 6 outs are clean.
2lazy2work is still left to act.


*FootNote*
My first inclination was to just shove over them. After the hand I tried to figure out if that was a good move or not. I say the PFR'r will call with JJ+ and AK and maybe AQs, not much else. However because he raised preflop, how much more likely is he to have one of those hands? I dont have a good answer to that. I'd say he's raising his top 10% hands preflop, which is fairly standard. But this is where I kind of get stuck and go "Whatever, say he calls 30% of the time, that sounds reasonable, and besides if he calls less it can only help you not hurt you"

Against JJ+/AK we're a 60/40 dog

Edit: Fixed equation [again]
(.70*15)+.30[(.40*71)-(.60*56)] = +$8.9 (someone check that math plz? I'm well known for being an idiot...) Which is a +EV bet

Obviously this ignores the second player in the pot but its pretty unlikely he has AA/KK here, so I think we can ignore him as even if he calls I think we'd be ahead or flipping.

I worked with NWNewell via AIM on this hand for quite a while (thanks dood you rock) and he ran through the calcs with me and found that we don't even need to worry about how often we'll win when called if villain calls less than 20% of the time (that is, even if we lost every time we were called it would still be +EV)

So in hindsight I think its very clear that shoving is a better play, even though it seems to be a pretty big overbet and that you'll only get called by good hands. It doesnt matter, its hugely +EV.

/long way to say the obvious, but i think this is going to be a situation that presents itself fairly commonly. Ideally, we should run the math for when a 10%ish PFR'r raises pre, gets a LP coldcaller and we have AK. Should we shove? I have to go to class but I'll try and answer that when I get back with an EV calc.
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euphoricism
Old 11-09-2007, 05:35 PM #9 (permalink)  
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That EV calc would be... (assuming a 4x preflop raiser, a cold caller, and we shove 50bb)

(.70*8)+.30[(.40*58)-(.60*50)]= +3.56

Still a +EV shove, and thats assuming we're getting called pretty often by pretty good hands.
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Old 11-11-2007, 01:16 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by euphoricism
That EV calc would be... (assuming a 4x preflop raiser, a cold caller, and we shove 50bb)

(.70*8)+.30[(.40*58)-(.60*50)]= +3.56

Still a +EV shove, and thats assuming we're getting called pretty often by pretty good hands.
[sarcasm]risking 50bb to win 3.56bb isn't high variance at all!![/sarcasm]
 
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euphoricism
Old 11-11-2007, 01:46 AM #11 (permalink)  
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I'm not saying its the correct move, I'm saying it's at the least +EV if you're not sure what the correct move is.

Besides. We really shouldn't care about variance, we care about profit, and frankly the easier it comes the better. I played LHE scraping out 1.5bb/100 for a living for christ's sake. Hell, you wrote it yourself - remember how much fun the swings were when you were little?

HAND 5 This is IMO about as tough as it gets playing a half stack. Youve bloated the pot with a good hand and an overcard flops. Yawn.

Villain sucks. Running like 65/15 and he's shorter than even I am.

50NL (yes, dropped down because I want to be way overbankrolled because the variance is indeed high.)

GotNoSteerin: posts big blind $0.50
Dealt to GotNoSteerin [ Qs Qh ]
Linguini: calls
johnnymo: calls
jvick184: folds
dhstylez: folds
GotNoSteerin: raises to $2.50 Mistake #1. I'm in the BB with two limpers, this should be atleast 7x and since they suck at poker I could probably get away with 8x.
Linguini: folds
johnnymo: calls
*** FLOP *** [ Js, Kc, 8h ] Pot is $6ish.
GotNoSteerin: bets $4
johnnymo: calls
*** TURN *** [ 4s ] Pot is $14ish.
GotNoSteerin: is all in (villain has $13 behind and I cover)
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Old 11-11-2007, 03:57 AM #12 (permalink)  
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heh, yes i indeed wrote that swings were fun! weeeeeeeee! personally, i avoid making thin vbets and thin calls, bluffs, etc. because even though a play might be +EV, i will forgo it to keep my sanity from the corresponding swings.

of course, do this too much and you won't move up past 200NL, or you'll be a bot grinding out 1ptbb/100 and relying on rakeback for profit.

as for hand 5, yeah that's as tough as it gets. i find it harder to play as a shortstack than as a full stack here. the implied threat makes laying down queens here a lot easier with a full stack. but with a shortstack you find yourself in a position of damned if you do and damned if you don't, so you just push and hope for the best.
 
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euphoricism
Old 11-11-2007, 04:16 AM #13 (permalink)  
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Doesnt really matter my stack in hand 5. Villain is even shorter, so what would you do as a full stack? Just put him in? I kinda want to c/rai somewhere because I think he'll bluff with more hands than he'll call with...
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Old 11-11-2007, 05:05 PM #14 (permalink)  
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whoops, missed that point. yeah, as a full stack i would put him all in and hope for the best.
 
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Old 11-11-2007, 05:33 PM #15 (permalink)  
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i dont see what is tough about hand 5. maybe i'm a dingbat, but if he is shorter than you, you put him in here. if he had the K, as an even shorter player, he would have raised your flop bet, imo.
LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.

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Old 11-11-2007, 07:16 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Hand #6

villain is 26/15 but thats about all i know of him.

jnd50: posts small blind $0.25
GotNoSteerin: posts big blind $0.50
Dealt to GotNoSteerin [ 9s 9c ]
DenV: folds
teampandt: calls
JohnBasedow: calls
flaxtonchick: folds
jnd50: folds
GotNoSteerin: checks meh
*** FLOP *** [ 3h, 6h, 7d ]
GotNoSteerin: bets $1.75
teampandt: calls
JohnBasedow: raises to $3.50
GotNoSteerin: is all in Standard or c/rai the turn?
teampandt: folds
JohnBasedow is left to act.
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Chopper
Old 11-12-2007, 05:41 PM #17 (permalink)  
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personally, i like it. i dont want to see another card w/ such a vulnerable overpair. i cant see him calling you unless: 1) he has another overpair, 2) made straight, 3) set, 4) big draw or combo, and i guess 5) two pair.

that sounds like a lot, but its a limped pot...anything is out there. i like using your FE to push him off or keep him from chasing overcards...which is where my thoughts go backwards, as you want these to chase. you are 70/30 over random hands...which is not too much wider than what would complete the small blind, imo. but, the main issue is how vulnerable your 99 is to T+ on the turn. so, i still like the AI.

however, against a sb, i like a raise pf here. that may help you cut out complete crap like 73o. and he has crap pf here, or he would have tried to steal your blind.
LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.

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Old 11-12-2007, 06:31 PM #18 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by euphoricism
Hand #6

villain is 26/15 but thats about all i know of him.

jnd50: posts small blind $0.25
GotNoSteerin: posts big blind $0.50
Dealt to GotNoSteerin [ 9s 9c ]
DenV: folds
teampandt: calls
JohnBasedow: calls
flaxtonchick: folds
jnd50: folds
GotNoSteerin: checks meh
*** FLOP *** [ 3h, 6h, 7d ]
GotNoSteerin: bets $1.75
teampandt: calls
JohnBasedow: raises to $3.50
GotNoSteerin: is all in Standard or c/rai the turn?
teampandt: folds
JohnBasedow is left to act.
given your stack size i think not raising preflop is criminal.

flop seems like a fine line.
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