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Good Bluff or Bad Spew?

  
 
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aka_red
Old 11-22-2009, 12:54 AM     Post subject: Good Bluff or Bad Spew? #1 (permalink)  
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aka_red
villain is 19/15, 15% 3bet. 1.5 af. he has called me 3 streets with jt on qj4s5s7 and i showed him aq

Hero (BB): $100.00
shipopotamus (UTG): $211.10
ShocKWavE686 (CO): $46.15
S_harkPHish (BTN): $110.50
EyHanna (SB): $115.85

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with Qs 9s
2 folds, S_harkPHish raises to $3, EyHanna calls $2.50, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($9.00) 6h Ah Qh (3 players)
EyHanna checks, Hero checks, S_harkPHish checks

Turn: ($9.00) 5h (3 players)
EyHanna checks, Hero checks, S_harkPHish bets $6, EyHanna folds, Hero raises to $18, S_harkPHish calls $12

River: ($45.00) 8h (2 players)
Hero bets $53, S_harkPHish ...
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griffey24
Old 11-22-2009, 02:16 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 This is a very bad spot to bluff. It's not like he ever has a set/two pair here and is trying to fill up. His b/c range on the turn has a lot of cards that will call this river. He might even convince himself that you're just trying to steal a chop now after this river, and be more likely to call worse hearts than the Kh even.
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d0zer
Old 11-22-2009, 03:33 AM #3 (permalink)  
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d0zer is a jewel in the roughd0zer is a jewel in the roughd0zer is a jewel in the rough
 Are you really c/r'ing this turn with what yer repping considering the flop action?

Incredulous I would be, sir
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aka_red
Old 11-22-2009, 07:19 AM #4 (permalink)  
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I don't understand why this flop action means I can't have a hand. Checking a majority of your range to the pre-flop raiser with an ace on board seems standard? It seems sort of weird to lead the nut flush draw into the pfr on this type of board. I mean obviously you would have a balanced range leading here but I think leading here would be awkward with hands that I am not stacking off to a raise. If anything me checking the turn here would be sort of weird instead of leading it for value. I mean his line looks clearly like JxJh or something along those lines.
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d0zer
Old 11-22-2009, 07:32 AM #5 (permalink)  
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d0zer is a jewel in the roughd0zer is a jewel in the roughd0zer is a jewel in the rough
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Originally Posted by reDZill4
I don't understand why this flop action means I can't have a hand.
It's the flop action + yer turn check, not just the flop action.

I just don't expect regs to be c/r'ing the Kh on the turn much & as such I think I'd call down with a Jh here...
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aka_red
Old 11-22-2009, 08:04 AM #6 (permalink)  
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I agree that my turn check forfeits any credibility I would have had.
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