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outphase
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01-21-2006, 06:41 PM
Post subject: Folding overpair on the flop?
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 949
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I've been playing with the SB for a while now, he's been passive most of the time and folding to many cbets, but this hand made me think. Given my read of the player, is it reasonable to put him on AA/KK given his preflop + flop line?
SB is 35.94/10.94/1.55
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
SB ($134.50)
BB ($37.35)
UTG ($20)
Hero ($175.15)
Button ($46.80)
Preflop: Hero is MP with Q , Q . UTG posts a blind of $1.
UTG (poster) checks, Hero raises to $5, 1 fold, SB raises to $11, 1 fold, UTG folds, Hero calls $6.
Flop: ($24) 2, 9, 8 (2 players)
SB bets $22, Hero folds.
Final Pot: $46
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by lambchopdc
Lets stop talking ABC poker and move on to D, E, and F.
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Robert
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Full House
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Kokkedal, Denmark
Posts: 1,109
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Since he's reraising OOP his most likely hand range is AA-QQ (with QQ being unlikely in this hand) and maybe AK too. In LP his hand range is much wider - but this is all assuming you are up against a thinking player.
Its a good fold imo, his flop bet looks like he's protecting an overpair (AA or KK). Could be AK cbetting also though
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Robert
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Full House
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Kokkedal, Denmark
Posts: 1,109
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Also if he has been passive this far, I fold here without regrets.
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gabe
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: trying to live
Posts: 7,964
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gotta toss it
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dsaxton
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 2,667
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Not folding is basically pure gambling, as there's probably at least a 50% chance he has A-A or K-K and won't fold. Wait for spots when your edges are greater, and/or when you can outmaneuver people.
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