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fold river with low flush?

  
 
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mixchange
Old 03-07-2008, 08:37 AM     Post subject: fold river with low flush? #1 (permalink)  
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG ($141.75)
MP ($106.25)
CO ($64.05)
Button ($102.15)
SB ($101.55)
Hero ($99.10)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 5.
UTG calls $1, 4 folds, Hero checks.

Flop: ($2.50) A, 5, 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $3, UTG calls $3.

Turn: ($8.50) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $5, UTG calls $5.

River: ($18.50) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $14, UTG raises to $48, Hero calls $34.

Final Pot: $114.50


Well?
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minSim
Old 03-07-2008, 09:06 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Do you have any info on villain?

In general I think you're beat here often. His line doesn't make any sense for a worse made hand. So it's pretty polarized imo...it's limped tho.

IMO it depends on:
- How often villain bluffs, which I don't think he well do often as I don't see him calling 2 streets with air.
- How bad he is and can have A5 or A9.

You get about 2,5:1 so you don't have to be good that often. I guess call against an unknown.
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bode
Old 03-07-2008, 10:36 AM #3 (permalink)  
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i think we have to call against an unknown here because its hard to put him on a hand that beats you other than a really badly played 33/55/unlikely BD flush. you have to be good 30%+ here and its pretty close.
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griffey24
Old 03-07-2008, 12:44 PM #4 (permalink)  
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This is a weird spot. You'd think he'd raise a set/A3/53 earlier on in the hand. I wouldn't be surprised if this was some donk limping AA UTG and flopping top set and not wanting to scare you off or something.

Our backdoor draw though is so well hidden here that I feel tempted to call. Who knows, some donk can be getting carried away with 23 or 34 or something here.
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meeloche
Old 03-07-2008, 10:58 PM #5 (permalink)  
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This really looks like AA. Reads would help a lot in determining a range. Against an unknown I might just fold this river you don't beat shit and I am a hud bot.
 
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EzDuzIt
Old 03-07-2008, 11:03 PM #6 (permalink)  
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yeah kinda weird, not folding though.
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mixchange
Old 03-07-2008, 11:12 PM #7 (permalink)  
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I have to play a lot without a HUD unfortunately, I'm often not able to play on my main machine
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Ash256
Old 03-07-2008, 11:44 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by meeloche
This really looks like AA. Reads would help a lot in determining a range. Against an unknown I might just fold this river you don't beat shit and I am a hud bot.
I concur - earlier when I was sober I was like "wtf this can't be a call yet it can't be a fold" - now I've no emotions I'm like "yea fold it whatever"
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sauce123
Old 03-08-2008, 04:27 AM #9 (permalink)  
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u played ur hand correctly besides maybe the turn
I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
 
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mixchange
Old 03-08-2008, 07:12 PM #10 (permalink)  
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he had 99, I think he played his hand terrible
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