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Galapogos
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12-14-2008, 07:21 PM
Post subject: Fold QQ preflop?
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: The Loser's Lounge
Posts: 2,323
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Kind of a meh spot. I don't have the hand history.
6max full stacks no notes etc.
I have QQ on the button.
UTG+1 (only played 10 hands with him) opens for 3bb. I call because the BB is a squeezy tagfish.
However, it's SB running at 15/13 who opts to squeeze to 14bb. Initial raiser folds. I'd like to know what you guys think the best line is here? I like to 4-bet with my premiums because I like to balance that I probably back-raise here a fair amount (probably too much). SB does not have this read on me though I'm sure. So anyway, I 4-bet to 28bb.
Normally I'm obviously doing this to call a shove if that occurs. However, this guy tanks for a little while like he's making some big decision, then he raises to like 48bb.
Did he just tell me he has AA and it's reasonable to fold here?
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Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
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nutsinho
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
Posts: 3,280
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in my games i give that type of betsizing even less credit than normal sizing cause its like theyre trying too hard to look strong, but im sure its different in the 100nl games. if your instincts tell you to go back on your original plan in a hand, they are probably right. i will demonstrate:
DeanoSupremo: posts small blind $25
nutsinho: posts big blind $50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to nutsinho [2s Ad]
stglobe: folds
tbthanx: folds
DeanoSupremo: raises $100 to $150
nutsinho: raises $350 to $500
DeanoSupremo: raises $4024 to $4524 and is all-in
nutsinho: calls $4024
*** FLOP *** [7s Qh 9s]
*** TURN *** [7s Qh 9s] [8d]
*** RIVER *** [7s Qh 9s 8d] [Ah]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
DeanoSupremo: shows [Qd Kd] (a pair of Queens)
nutsinho: shows [2s Ad] (a pair of Aces)
nutsinho collected $9046 from pot
DeanoSupremo said, "......"
nutsinho said, "yup"
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My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
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zook
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12-14-2008, 08:36 PM
Post subject: Re: Fold QQ preflop?
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#3 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 3,676
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Galapogos
Did he just tell me he has AA and it's reasonable to fold here?
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Yeah I think so. No 3bet or squeeze stats on him?
nh nutseenyo
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UG
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12-14-2008, 10:01 PM
Post subject: Re: Fold QQ preflop?
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#4 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 1,855
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Quote:
DeanoSupremo said, "......"
nutsinho said, "yup"
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fucking awesome
Quote:
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Originally Posted by zook
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Galapogos
Did he just tell me he has AA and it's reasonable to fold here?
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Yeah I think so. No 3bet or squeeze stats on him?
nh nutseenyo
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I know a little bit about the mentality of a 15/13 guy at this level (I used to be one), and I can tell you that this is AA/KK about 99% of the time. I hope you folded but I don't hate you if you shoved either, I mean we have QQ! But yeah, fold.
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Ash256
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12-14-2008, 10:39 PM
Post subject: Re: Fold QQ preflop?
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#5 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: UK
Posts: 1,760
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Galapogos
Did he just tell me he has AA and it's reasonable to fold here?
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My initial reaction was yes.
But, this is a dick-swinging contest and it doesn't look like you have anything.
Pick a level?
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darys
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High Card
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 12
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I would say 50% he got something big , really big. could be KK, AA AK.
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darys
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High Card
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 12
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if you see very conservative players raise and reraise or call reraise. probably u should fodl.
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Luke999
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Straight
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: England
Posts: 238
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Having played 100NL a lot (and this may just be way off and silly) but I find most fish like to just shove a hand like AK, and whenever they 5bet they seem to have AA/KK and like NEVER do it as a bluff.
But that is just what I've noticed on ipoker.
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bode
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Location: slow motion
Posts: 4,270
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meh for 100bbs i dont hate getting it in, but folding may be correct here vs his likely range.
just dont do what i did last night and get 175bbs in pre vs a 16/14 UTG raiser and a MP shorty. bad decision.
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eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
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jo
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Straight
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 166
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I make the EV for a shove vs a fold against the follwing ranges:
AA,KK: -36 BB
AA,KK,AKs: -18 BB
AA,KK,AKs,AKo: +8 BB
So you have to be pretty sure that he would make this play with AKo to justify shoving.
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