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Fold aces to CB raise after 3betting UTG on this board? 50NL
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L_Clan_Sup3rMaN
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05-26-2009, 10:49 AM
Post subject: Fold aces to CB raise after 3betting UTG on this board? 50NL
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 834
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Villain 23/21/3.0 fold to 3b: 25% over 292 hands
His very active from CO/BU, not so much from EP
I would expect KK to have 4bet PF and wudnt expect AK here unless with flush draw, so heavily towards QQ/JJ or worse AQ? So is folding standard here?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) -
MP ($53.25)
Button ($45.50)
SB ($6.65)
Hero (BB) ($53.30)
UTG ($129.90)
Preflop: Hero is BB with , 
UTG bets $1.50, 3 folds, Hero raises to $5.50, UTG calls $4
Flop: ($11.25) , , (2 players)
Hero bets $8, UTG raises to $22.50
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I guess his UTG opening range is:
22+,AJs+,KQs,AQo+
if he has 25% fold to 3b, wtf does he fold? 22-66? nothing from his UTG range?
his range on the flop is JJ+,AcKc,AQs,AQo
even if you say he'd 4b KK, I could say the same thing about QQ, I see people 4b/call QQ all day
but let's have it your way
take out aces and kings
Board: Qc 8d Jc
Hand 0: 50.633% { QQ-JJ, AcKc, AQs, AQo }
Hand 1: 49.367% { AhAs }
we have pot odds to shove
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mixchange
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 1,665
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i dont like your range here IOPQ. He opens 21% of hands and folds 25% of those to 3bets. Maybe he's opening 10% of hands from EP? This is 5 handed so it could be more
160,380 games 0.005 secs 32,076,000 games/sec
Board: Qc 8d Jc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.460% 56.67% 00.79% 90888 1266.00 { QQ-JJ, 88, AQs+, KQs, QJs, T9s, AQo }
Hand 1: 42.540% 41.75% 00.79% 66960 1266.00 { AA }
I expect to see 2p+ the nuts or a combo draw.... occasionally AQo, which I think might flat flop
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