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flush river, donk bet - to call or raise

  
 
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benny999
Old 06-07-2007, 04:39 AM     Post subject: flush river, donk bet - to call or raise #1 (permalink)  
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villain seems loose and donkish but it's only my 1st orbit here.
i'm thinking my river raise was bad but not totally sure.

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Stack sizes:
UTG: $420
UTG+1: $621.10
CO: $200.90
Hero: $398
SB: $1117.70
BB: $695.60

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with J A
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, CO folds, Hero raises to $18, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: A K A ($42, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $30, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: 5 ($102, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $75, UTG+1 calls.

River: Q ($252, 2 players)
UTG+1 bets $41, Hero raises all-in $275
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benny999
Old 06-07-2007, 04:58 AM #2 (permalink)  
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now that i posted it and thought more, it does seem pretty bad to raise. just more likely he calls with a flush than trips.
does anyone think raising is good, since he bet so small and could have trips with weak kicker?
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mixchange
Old 06-07-2007, 05:34 AM #3 (permalink)  
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weird hand...you know, he could be hanging around with J10d, 910d

The limp/call check/call river bet makes it look like a flush chase and with that kind of flop he's got good implied odds, course if you have AK or AQ he is hosed and he has to know that. I just call the river, I don't see how a10 can call your push and that's really all you beat, and that river bet is begging for a re-raise. Why not push the turn? Very unlikely he has AK
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dsaxton
Old 06-07-2007, 07:18 AM #4 (permalink)  
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You don't even beat trip aces anymore, and it's hard to see him paying off a raise with anything less. I think you should just call, as he may somehow have a flush or boat.
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JL
Old 06-07-2007, 07:50 AM #5 (permalink)  
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JL will become famous soon enough
 Not a chance anything u beat will call here.
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sauce123
Old 06-07-2007, 03:10 PM #6 (permalink)  
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too thin imo
I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
 
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twosevoff
Old 06-11-2007, 11:23 PM #7 (permalink)  
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I kind of like it. It's not at all for value though--it's to get him to fold an A with no kicker and avoid a chop.
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benny999
Old 06-12-2007, 04:07 AM #8 (permalink)  
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doh. i need to relearn how to tell what hand i have...good point.
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