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donkbee
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07-22-2010, 01:39 AM
Post subject: flopped straight, bad turn and river (50NL PS)
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#1 (permalink)
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WELP
Join Date: May 2005
Location: so close but so far
Posts: 3,605
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Villain is 85/15 over ~25 hands. The only significant thing I've seen him do so far is limp AK, min raise turned top pair and call an oop river bet.
The board got pretty bad. What should my plan be here?
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (4 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($14.00)
Button ($48.80)
SB ($54.05)
Hero (BB) ($88.50)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 10 , Q
1 fold, Hero bets $1.50, Button calls $1.50, 2 folds
Flop: ($3.75) J , 9 , K (2 players)
Hero bets $3, Button calls $3
Turn: ($9.75) 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $6.50, Button calls $6.50
River: ($22.75) 9 (2 player)
Hero ?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Why poker fucks with our heads: it's the master that beats you for bringing in the paper, then gives you a milkbone for peeing on the carpet.
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pocketfours
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Lighting sweet moneys on fire.
Posts: 2,166
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b/f
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donkbee
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WELP
Join Date: May 2005
Location: so close but so far
Posts: 3,605
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what bet size do you recommend?
thx for your help!
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Why poker fucks with our heads: it's the master that beats you for bringing in the paper, then gives you a milkbone for peeing on the carpet.
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Alexos
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Montreal
Posts: 2,766
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id b/f 13-15 ish
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Nine to five is how to survive - I ain't trying to survive / I'm trying to live it to the limit and love it a lot //
Can offer RB deals on most sites, PM me.
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Carroters
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Da Amberlamps
Posts: 2,217
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Yah the reason it should be smallish is, well, think about the range of worse hands you're trying to get called by, 9x Kx etc. How is their relative hand strength on this board? Not very strong. We need to choose a size that doesn't fold out too many worse hands and get only called by all splits/better hence leaving the EV of the bet fucked. Think 13-15 is good.
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Mr. Diamond
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Straight
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: verified poker sponsor
Posts: 237
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bet always vs this player - something like 14 or so
- and I would bet bigger on the flop and turn
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,336
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Must bet here. In a live game I would seriously think about shipping this and would consider setting it up with a bigger turn bet. He seems distrustful.
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Numbr2intheWorld
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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$8
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Numbr2intheWorld
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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Maybe call a small raise but not a shove
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