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flopped set, min raised on river (50NL)

  
 
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donkbee
Old 07-23-2010, 05:54 PM     Post subject: flopped set, min raised on river (50NL) #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is running 45/16. I've seen him min raise top pair on the flop, but I've also seen him check behind when he rivered 2 pair on a scary board. He donk bet the flop and called a raise with middle pair in the past. In that same hand he also bet OOP and called a raise on the river still with just middle pair.

Should I call this?

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($73.65)
BB ($124.75)
UTG ($61.50)
Hero (MP) ($108.20)
Button ($20.90)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 7, 7
1 fold, Hero bets $1.50, Button calls $1.50, 1 fold, BB calls $1

Flop: ($4.75) J, 4, 7 (3 players)
BB bets $1, Hero raises $4, 1 fold, BB calls $3

Turn: ($12.75) 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $8, BB calls $8

River: ($28.75) Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $19, BB raises $38, Hero ?



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pocketfours
Old 07-23-2010, 10:34 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I wouldn't.
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Mr. Diamond
Old 07-24-2010, 07:24 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Yeah I would fold too

- on the turn I would bet at least 10.5, because if he has 99 with heart, 7 of hearts or pair of jacks he will call
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Fnord
Old 07-24-2010, 07:42 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by courtiebee View Post
I've also seen him check behind when he rivered 2 pair on a scary board.
Only reason I'm thinking of folding. Otherwise I'm paying this off.

But yeah, I think you see a flush here a lot. Any timing tells?
 
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 07-24-2010, 05:36 PM #5 (permalink)  
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You have enough reads to make this fold imo
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sauce123
Old 07-24-2010, 09:59 PM #6 (permalink)  
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id snap call, his play is way too erratic to fold given odds + absolute hand strength

id fold one pair though
I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
 
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 07-25-2010, 01:00 AM #7 (permalink)  
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45/16 getting 3.5 to 1 with a set? Yeah I call
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