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A few big bluffs

  
 
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2_Thumbs_Up
Old 05-08-2007, 07:35 PM     Post subject: A few big bluffs #1 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Sweden
Posts: 271
2_Thumbs_Up
1. Villain is a fish. 50/2.5 and WTSD: 22 over 200 hands. This hand is from a few days ago and I don't remember much more.

PokerRoom No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

UTG ($100.00)
MP ($84.25)
Button (Villain) ($190.00)
2 Thumbs Up ($132.55)
BB ($116.20)

Preflop: 2 Thumbs Up is SB with Q[], A[].
1 fold, MP raises to $5, Button (Villain) calls $5, 2 Thumbs Up raises to $16.5, 1 fold, MP folds, Button (Villain) calls $11.50.

Flop: ($39) 5[], 4[], 7[] (2 players)
2 Thumbs Up bets $22, Villain calls $22.

Turn: ($83) T[] (2 players)
2 Thumbs Up checks, Villain checks.

River: ($83) 2[] (2 players)
2 Thumbs Up bets $94.05 (All-In)



2. I realize this one sucks from an odds perspective. But Villain is a Nit (13.5/9/0.6) and I really doubt he calls without a straight. The question is how often he has it.

PokerRoom No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

UTG (Villain) ($96.00)
MP ($276.55)
2 Thumbs Up ($162.05)
SB ($11.00)
BB ($35.95)

Preflop: 2 Thumbs Up is Button with T[], Q[].
Villain raises to $4[/color], 1 fold, 2 Thumbs Up calls $4, 2 folds.

Flop: ($9.50) 7[], 6[], T[] (2 players)
Villain bets $4, 2 Thumbs Up calls $4.

Turn: ($17.50) 9[] (2 players)
Villain bets $10, 2 Thumbs Up calls $10.

River: ($37.50) J[] (2 players)
Villain bets $20, 2 Thumbs Up raises to $100



3. In this one I only have about 25 hands on villain. But he is running 44/22. I believe this is the first time I 3-bet him.

PokerRoom No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

BB ($90.00)
UTG ($61.65)
MP (Villain) ($142.40)
2 Thumbs Up ($97.00)
SB ($125.70)

Preflop: 2 Thumbs Up is Button with 8[], 6[].
UTG calls $1, Villain raises to $5[/color], 2 Thumbs Up raises to $17, 2 folds, UTG folds, MP (Villain) calls $12.

Flop: ($36.50) 7[], 4[], T[] (2 players)
Villain checks, 2 Thumbs Up bets $25, Villain calls $25.

Turn: ($86.50) A[] (2 players)
Villain checks, 2 Thumbs Up bets $55 (All-In)
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zenbitz
Old 05-08-2007, 10:41 PM #2 (permalink)  
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zenbitz
1 & 3 I don't think your bets are big enough to fold anything. 3. especially - you have to push flop, not leave yourself with 5/8th pot behind.

2) looks wonky because it's not believable that the J made your straight (KQ?). If you had an 8, wouldn't you raise the turn? Oh, and I think a nit almost never has a straight here. 88 is the only reasonable straight here... I *guess* you could have 68 or 78. I am presuming he never raises connectors UTG.
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 05-08-2007, 10:51 PM #3 (permalink)  
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IowaSkinsFan will become famous soon enoughIowaSkinsFan will become famous soon enough
 Hand 3: i pretty much shove the flop, or whatever commits you.
Hand 2: ugh just horrible.
Hand 1: I like this if he's nitty enough.
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minSim
Old 05-09-2007, 07:29 AM #4 (permalink)  
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minSim
You like buying in short?

Hand 1: This works often I think. Your AQ could be good though....What hands do you put villain on?

Hand 2: I don't really hate it. Villains betsizes are too small, I think he's scared. You're only afraid of 88...and maybe a big PP.

Hand 3: Any flop bet commits you anyhow, so shoving the flop seems ok. Not much that can call that, and you have outs to anything that does call.
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Genitruc
Old 05-09-2007, 09:25 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Posts: 4,463
Genitruc is an unknown quantity at this point
 I don t like hand 1. Usually ppl like this call with mid pp's if they suck. Don t see why the 2 should scare him (it actually might have helped him!)

I like 2

I think 3 is ok although I think it looks scarier to check behind on the turn and push any river since there s no reason for you to protect vs a flush draw in a reraised pot and often AK hitting the ace on the turn checks behind for value.
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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2_Thumbs_Up
Old 05-09-2007, 11:16 AM #6 (permalink)  
Flush

Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Sweden
Posts: 271
2_Thumbs_Up
Quote:
Originally Posted by minSim
You like buying in short?
It's a glitch with the hand converter. It's 1$ bb.

I'm getting mixed response here so I'll leave these for some more comments before I post results and my own thoughts.
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