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Donkish river call?

  
 
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Rockymv
Old 07-25-2006, 05:25 PM     Post subject: Donkish river call? #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is 43/17.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($84.50)
Hero ($99)
UTG ($97.50)
MP ($198.81)
Button ($117.30)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5, 6. SB posts a blind of $0.50.
2 folds, Button calls $1, SB (poster) completes, Hero checks.

Flop: ($3) 6, 6, J (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.5, Button calls $2.50, SB calls $2.50.

Turn: ($10.50) Q (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8, Button raises to $16, SB folds, Hero calls $8.

River: ($42.50) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $20, Hero calls $20.

Final Pot: $82.50
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andy-akb
Old 07-25-2006, 05:43 PM #2 (permalink)  
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What are his turn and river aggression factor and frequency? What are his showdown stats?

We split with any 6, beat a flush and a jack, and lose to any queen. A player who raises 17% of their hands preflop probably has a very wide range to limp on the button, have you seen him do this before?

A call on the flop could mean a lot, if he has a FD he cant have a Q, but again the turn doesnt seem like a flush. He could very easily be slowplaying trips which you split with on the river. At first I thought a hand like QJ or AQ was possible, but realized he openlimped on the button so its most likely not a hand like that.

When thinking about this hand I really am not sure what Id put him on so those stats would help. He could be slowplaying trips and then raising that turn, or that Q could have helped him, its tough to say and I really would like to see what others have to say about this.

On a side note, does 3betting AI on the turn have any merit?
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cardsman1992
Old 07-25-2006, 05:50 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I like a 3-bet AI against a flush-draw board. Make him make a major mistake if he is on a draw.
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gabe
Old 07-25-2006, 05:51 PM #4 (permalink)  
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bet $15 on river and fold to a raise
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Rockymv
Old 07-25-2006, 06:55 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by andy-akb
What are his turn and river aggression factor and frequency? What are his showdown stats?
I don't have enough hands on him for these stats to be meaningful. I didn't even think about 3bet all in on the turn...but it sounds pretty good in retrospect.
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aislephive
Old 07-25-2006, 07:26 PM #6 (permalink)  
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River call is standard FYI.
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Miffed22001
Old 07-25-2006, 07:34 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aislephive
River call is standard FYI.
sklansky says its a fold.

I like 3 betting all in on the turn fwiw unless opp is super passive and we're outkicked.
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natdang
Old 07-26-2006, 08:30 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Yeah I stick it to him on the turn, but as played, I'd have led on the river. I call the river anyway, but calling big river bets is a huge leak in my game anyways.
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gabe
Old 07-26-2006, 03:58 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Miffed22001
Quote:
Originally Posted by aislephive
River call is standard FYI.
sklansky says its a fold.
lol where do you get this stuff from?

3 betting allin on turn sucks too
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r8ed
Old 07-26-2006, 04:07 PM #10 (permalink)  
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I think it's better to lead for $20 as a hand like AJ will check behind....and a Queen will raise so you can fold. I doubt you will face a raise here as a bluff unless villain is a moron (or genius).
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cardsman1992
Old 07-26-2006, 04:13 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
3 betting allin on turn sucks too
Could you explain why?
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gabe
Old 07-26-2006, 04:35 PM #12 (permalink)  
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fish with flush draws dont min raise the turn on paired boards. the guy almost always has a better 6 or two pair here. a push is good with A6 usually but not with a kicker that probably won't even play.
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cardsman1992
Old 07-26-2006, 04:40 PM #13 (permalink)  
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So you think 67 would be in this hand? A6 wouldn't raise on button in unraised pot? I wouldn't be worrying about another mid PP on the turn. I am trying to take the pot down or make him pay to draw to his two outer.

My hand reading skills need work, that's why I am wondering....
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gabe
Old 07-26-2006, 05:33 PM #14 (permalink)  
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he hardly ever has a draw here. if hes drawing to a 2 outer hes hardly paying too much. pushing just gives all our money away to monsters, which is what his hand looks like.
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Miffed22001
Old 07-26-2006, 06:42 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
he hardly ever has a draw here. if hes drawing to a 2 outer hes hardly paying too much. pushing just gives all our money away to monsters, which is what his hand looks like.
Villian is 43/17.

were outkicked then and should call the river?
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gabe
Old 07-26-2006, 06:49 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
bet $15 on river and fold to a raise
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natdang
Old 07-26-2006, 07:28 PM #17 (permalink)  
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I agree, a push on turn would be a ridiculous overbet, not my style. But, I'd probably make it 30 something and fire a block bet on the river
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