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Decent bluff or speww 100nl

  
 
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yourfather
Old 02-03-2009, 05:10 PM     Post subject: Decent bluff or speww 100nl #1 (permalink)  
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yourfather
Villain is winning 100nl player, not bad. He's been opening like every button so I am 3 betting here essentially as a bluff.

I think he can call flop bet with FDs, overs and mid pairs and he'd prob raise overpairs. I think he can b/f the turn w most of his flop calling range so I decided to c/r ai.

Thoughts?


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LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BB: $101.50
UTG: $97.80
MP: $185.95
CO: $391.90
BTN: $207
Hero (SB): $100

Pre-Flop: 6 A dealt to Hero (SB)
3 folds, BTN raises to $3.50, Hero raises to $10, BB folds, BTN calls $6.50

Flop: ($21) J 6 3 (2 Players)
Hero bets $14.50, BTN calls $14.50

Turn: ($50) J (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $25, Hero raises to $75.50 and is All-In
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griffey24
Old 02-03-2009, 06:17 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 Are you sure this is a bluff?

The most likely hands that are betting here are probably his floats/FD's (which you're ahead of) and his Jx which own you.

I think he checks back the midpairs (that you are trying to fold out with this 'bluff') very often. Or at least most people would be checking back 77-TT here.
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yourfather
Old 02-03-2009, 06:33 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Well yes, my hand is often the best hand so its not a bluff per se I guess.

But I could make some middle pps fold and overs which is what I want. I can't c/c here and I thought c/rai and c/f were close. Against some maniacs it could be different.

Maybe I am way off I don't know poker is pwning me right now.
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griffey24
Old 02-03-2009, 06:41 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 Umm... why are c/r allin and c/f your only two options here? I'm not saying this is the best option, but I don't see why betting again isn't an option here. I'd rather c/f than bet though I think.
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nutsinho
Old 02-03-2009, 07:00 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
Are you sure this is a bluff?

The most likely hands that are betting here are probably his floats/FD's (which you're ahead of) and his Jx which own you.

I think he checks back the midpairs (that you are trying to fold out with this 'bluff') very often. Or at least most people would be checking back 77-TT here.
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meeloche
Old 02-03-2009, 08:24 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 Are people at 100nl really capable of a pure float in a 3 bet pot?

Your preflop size is way too small especially oop bvb. In general you have a lot less fold equity in 3 bet pots then you think. I would just play it as a bluff catcher. Since I don't know that he's calling 3 bets with a wide range I'd just c/f turn.



 
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