Poker Forum

Over 1,247,000 Posts!

REGISTER
Subscribe to FTR web feed
Already Registered?      Username:    Password:   Remember      Forgot Password

Poker Forum

  > 

Short-Handed NL Hold'em

  > 

Complete spew?

  
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
donnybaker
Old 05-10-2008, 09:28 PM     Post subject: Complete spew? #1 (permalink)  
Straight

Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: not playing much
Posts: 154
donnybaker
This is a hand from my recent, ill-fated, shot at 200nl. On the turn i was sure vill would bet if I checked and I wouldn't be able to call. Is this too spewy? What about checking the flop? I feel like that gives too many small-mid pairs license to steal.

Villian is UTG, 27/22/2 over about 100 hands

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (4 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

saw flop|saw showdown

UTG ($478)
Button ($231.30)
Hero ($198)
BB ($224.40)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, A.
UTG raises to $8, 1 fold, Hero raises to $28, 1 fold, UTG calls $20.

Flop: ($58) 5, 2, 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $38, UTG calls $38.

Turn: ($134) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $132 (All-In)
 
Reply With Quote

Play for FREE and practice your game at...

Join the FTR Poker Forum to disable these banners and start posting!
Deanglow
Old 05-10-2008, 09:43 PM #2 (permalink)  
Deanglow's Avatar
Moderator

Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: lol
Posts: 2,443
Deanglow is on a distinguished road
 This looks awfully standard. c/f the flop sometimes but I don't mind this.
 
Reply With Quote
donnybaker
Old 05-10-2008, 09:52 PM #3 (permalink)  
Straight

Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: not playing much
Posts: 154
donnybaker
Quote:
Originally Posted by Deanglow
This looks awfully standard. c/f the flop sometimes but I don't mind this.
Ok, but without picking up the flush draw it would be c/f on the turn (most of the time)...right?
Reply With Quote
EzDuzIt
Old 05-10-2008, 09:58 PM #4 (permalink)  
EzDuzIt's Avatar
Full House

Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Green Bay
Posts: 915
EzDuzIt
yeah without picking up the flush draw he has to fold way too much for that to be profitable and theres not that many hands hes calling the flop with that are folding now.
Reply With Quote
dalecooper
Old 05-10-2008, 10:11 PM #5 (permalink)  
dalecooper's Avatar
4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 3,107
dalecooper
Looks good to me.
Reply With Quote
donnybaker
Old 05-10-2008, 10:12 PM #6 (permalink)  
Straight

Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: not playing much
Posts: 154
donnybaker
Ok, thanks for the input. I thought this was horrible when I played it, but that was because he had a set and I sucked out. However, I was looking at it and the math looks ok. Here's what I came up with:

My estimation of villians flop calling range: JJ+, 77
My equity on the turn against that range: 25%.
x=% of time he folds
What I win when he folds + what i win when he calls and I win - what I lose when he calls and I lose = 0
134x+.25(266)(1-x)-.75(132)(1-x)=0
x=0.195

Does that look right?
So if villain will fold 20% or more of the time, this is a profitable play. If his range is wider, it become more profitable.
Reply With Quote
Reply
Latest Poker News
Bbickes Old 06-02-2012, 08:10 PM    Merge Network 6.0 Looks to Retain Current Player Base
In an effort to perhaps keep players from moving to the new Revolution Network setup by the former Lock Poker, Merge Network has taken drastic steps to respond to their player base's requests to impro ...

« Previous Thread | Next Thread »
Thread Tools
Display Modes
Linear Mode Linear Mode

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


All times are GMT. The time now is 02:09 AM.

Contact Us - Archive - Top

FTR Testimonials

All content
© FlopTurnRiver.com 		Advertising  |   Partners  |   Testimonials  |   T&C  |   Contact Us  |   FTR News & Press  |   Site Map  |   Search FTR

Full Tilt  |   Titan Poker  |   UltimateBet  |   Poker Stars  |   Ladbrokes Bonus  |   Sportsbook  |   Cake Poker  

Play Texas Holdem Online, Online Texas Holdem Strategy, & Poker Forum
This is not a gambling website.