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JL
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12-13-2006, 03:51 AM
Post subject: Combo draw; ALL IN!!
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,095
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Judging by his Insta-push on the flop, I can rule out a set (and 2 pair probably) can't I?
So, easy call then?
GAME #461937978: Texas Hold'em NL $0.50/$1 2006-12-11 23:10:41
Table Harrington (6 max)
Seat 1: cheeseweezle ($103.11 in chips)
Seat 3: hson ($95.85 in chips)
Seat 5: j0nnyb0y ($127.45 in chips)
Seat 6: Berdugo ($44.35 in chips)
Seat 8: Amzig ($70.80 in chips) DEALER
Seat 10: katsumi ($69.15 in chips)
katsumi: Post SB $0.50
cheeseweezle: Post BB $1.00
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to j0nnyb0y :Ac: :Jc:
hson: Fold
j0nnyb0y: Raise $4.00
Berdugo: Fold
Amzig: Fold
katsumi: Fold
cheeseweezle: Call $3.00
*** FLOP *** 
cheeseweezle: Bet $6.00
j0nnyb0y: Raise $15.00
cheeseweezle: Insta-pushes Allin $93.11
j0nnyb0y: Call $84.11
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euphoricism
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
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You can rule out no such thing. Without more info, this is a pretty "ok" spot to call.
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Harry
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Philly
Posts: 722
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A set is def. a possibility here.
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JL
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,095
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by euphoricism
You can rule out no such thing. Without more info, this is a pretty "ok" spot to call.
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True...but he is a donk...donks tend to slow play sets and 2 pair do they not???
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bigspenda73
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,546
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by JL
Quote:
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Originally Posted by euphoricism
You can rule out no such thing. Without more info, this is a pretty "ok" spot to call.
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True...but he is a donk...donks tend to slow play sets and 2 pair do they not???
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Not on this board, they'd be afraid of it
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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I don't think ever going all in with a flush draw with almost 2 to 1 on the flop is ever bad enough to talk about.
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givememyleg
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WHO YA GONNA CALL?!??
Administrator
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: ISHPERMING MISHIGEN
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What's the combination?
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Halv
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pro crastinator
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: No hindsight for the blind.
Posts: 1,842
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Runner runner royal obv.
I call flop.
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bode
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Location: slow motion
Posts: 4,270
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im not seeing the combo draw either.
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Quote:
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eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
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Lukie
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: back with a vengeance
Posts: 3,307
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seems like a pretty easy call
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Harry
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Philly
Posts: 722
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If the call is -ev, its only slightly so.
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PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
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griffey24
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Toronto'ish
Posts: 4,611
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Bode-ist
im not seeing the combo draw either.
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Maybe the combo is the possible outs his overcards give him?...
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jyms
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Tilting Mod
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,837
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I'm confused. This is nowhere near 2:1 to call. Is it really ok to call a possible set all in with just a flush draw and a runner runner str8 draw. he easily has 44, 77, AT but likeky JJ. It's $84 to call into a $122 pot, I never have called this. Should I?? With a OESD draw and flush draw maybe. But I need to know why you would call this.
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Halv
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pro crastinator
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: No hindsight for the blind.
Posts: 1,842
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I ran a possible likely range for an unknown player; sets, overpairs, combodraws:
Board: Tc 7c 4s
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 39.2623 % 39.21% 00.05% { AcJc }
Hand 2: 60.7377 % 60.69% 00.05% { TT+, 77, 44, 9c8c }
We're getting 40.6% pot odds, so given this range (and no chance for pure bluffs) the call is slightly -EV. However, the read is that villain is a donk. His range is obviously wider.
I expect to see a worse draw here alot.
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Lukie
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: back with a vengeance
Posts: 3,307
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trainer_jyms
I'm confused. This is nowhere near 2:1 to call. Is it really ok to call a possible set all in with just a flush draw and a runner runner str8 draw. he easily has 44, 77, AT but likeky JJ. It's $84 to call into a $122 pot, I never have called this. Should I?? With a OESD draw and flush draw maybe. But I need to know why you would call this.
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if he's aggro, there's a decent possibility that we're already good (there are many worse draws that this villain could b3bai with), and you have to consider that our overcards give us some added equity as well. Sure, they might be dead to a set sometimes, but other times the A might be live against a KK that just called preflop, or the J might be live against AT (pretty unlikely IMO but possible), or both might be live agaainst something like 4xcc. Calling here is at worst a small mistake against some ranges, and a pretty bad mistake against others.
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euphoricism
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
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Yeah I agree. I dont mind a call, but I certainly wouldnt fault you for finding a better spot against the moron.
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Lukie
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: back with a vengeance
Posts: 3,307
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Lukie
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trainer_jyms
I'm confused. This is nowhere near 2:1 to call. Is it really ok to call a possible set all in with just a flush draw and a runner runner str8 draw. he easily has 44, 77, AT but likeky JJ. It's $84 to call into a $122 pot, I never have called this. Should I?? With a OESD draw and flush draw maybe. But I need to know why you would call this.
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if he's aggro, there's a decent possibility that we're already good (there are many worse draws that this villain could b3bai with), and you have to consider that our overcards give us some added equity as well. Sure, they might be dead to a set sometimes, but other times the A might be live against a KK that just called preflop, or the J might be live against AT (pretty unlikely IMO but possible), or both might be live agaainst something like 4xcc. Calling here is at worst a small mistake against some ranges, and a pretty bad mistake against others.
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meant to say at the end that folding is a pretty bad mistake against some ranges**
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jyms
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Tilting Mod
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,837
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Understood. That is what I was having the problems with. OP said you could rule out the set, but unless this guy is a 50+/5/3.0+ I don't call this. Any tight, average player here has TPTK, set or overpair in my world, so calling this thin of a margin is out for me. If he has anything else, I will get it from him on a later hand.
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JL
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,095
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Trainer_jyms
Understood. That is what I was having the problems with. OP said you could rule out the set, but unless this guy is a 50+/5/3.0+ I don't call this. Any tight, average player here has TPTK, set or overpair in my world, so calling this thin of a margin is out for me. If he has anything else, I will get it from him on a later hand.
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Well he was 55/30/4....
...and he flipped over KcQc
PS: the combo draw is 2 overs plus FD...which in this case was just as good as a straight flush draw.
When I made the call I was pretty confident that my overs were good...unless he had AT...then I only had 12 outs.
Just wondered what you guys thought...glad to know that it wasnt too hard of a decision.
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