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Can I lay this down here and if so why if not why?

  
 
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spino1i
Old 07-09-2005, 05:08 AM     Post subject: Can I lay this down here and if so why if not why? #1 (permalink)  
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Location: 25/50's f'in hard!
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spino1i
No reads on opps..

***** Hand History for Game 2333627985 *****
$200 NL Hold'em - Saturday, July 09, 01:11:12 EDT 2005
Table Table 54828 (6 max) (No DP) (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 6
Seat 1: hnorthrup ( $325.15 )
Seat 3: ScoutyD ( $111.9 )
Seat 5: gizmo62 ( $254.6 )
Seat 6: fitzroy ( $264.55 )
Seat 4: EvilEcstasy_ ( $230.35 )
Seat 2: RJ5683 ( $37 )
ScoutyD posts small blind [$1].
EvilEcstasy_ posts big blind [$2].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to EvilEcstasy_ [ 6d As ]
>You have options at Table 55661 (6 max) (No DP) Table!.
gizmo62 calls [$2].
fitzroy calls [$2].
hnorthrup calls [$2].
RJ5683 calls [$2].
ScoutyD calls [$1].
EvilEcstasy_ checks.
** Dealing Flop ** [ Ah, 6h, 3d ]
ScoutyD checks.
EvilEcstasy_ bets [$6].
gizmo62 calls [$6].
>You have options at Table 55661 (6 max) (No DP) Table!.
fitzroy raises [$25].
hnorthrup folds.
RJ5683 folds.
ScoutyD calls [$25].
>You have options at Table 55661 (6 max) (No DP) Table!.
EvilEcstasy_ raises [$49].
gizmo62 folds.
fitzroy is all-In [$237.55]
ScoutyD is all-In [$84.9]
EvilEcstasy_ ???
BR now: $106900
Playing now: $10/10/20 - $20/40 NL live, $10/20 NL full ring online, $10/20 NL 6-max online, $20/40 FL 6-max online, $100/200 FL live
Goal: $125000 for $25/50 NL live
 
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k8s
Old 07-09-2005, 05:11 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Location: Stars 6-Max 100NL
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k8s
Fold. Fitzroy has a set 99% of the time here.
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spino1i
Old 07-09-2005, 05:19 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by k8s
Fold. Fitzroy has a set 99% of the time here.
what makes you so sure? Can you explain reasoning behind this read?
BR now: $106900
Playing now: $10/10/20 - $20/40 NL live, $10/20 NL full ring online, $10/20 NL 6-max online, $20/40 FL 6-max online, $100/200 FL live
Goal: $125000 for $25/50 NL live
 
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k8s
Old 07-09-2005, 05:51 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Location: Stars 6-Max 100NL
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What hands will push here possibly, being lenient: A3, A6, AA, 33, 66.

AA was not raised preflop so it's highly unlikely. Fitzroy probably wouldn't call A3 or A6 UTG+1 either. And if the flop went raise-raise-raise- would you raise all in with 2 pair? On the unlikely chance it is 2 pair, A6 will be more common and you're splitting, and only beating A3. Now look at 33 and 66. He limped, like 33 and 66 would. Then he went mad on the flop. You're beating 1 hand, splitting 1, and losing 3. Plus the way he played looks like a pocket pair that hit a set.
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spino1i
Old 07-09-2005, 06:02 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by k8s
What hands will push here possibly, being lenient: A3, A6, AA, 33, 66.

AA was not raised preflop so it's highly unlikely. Fitzroy probably wouldn't call A3 or A6 UTG+1 either. And if the flop went raise-raise-raise- would you raise all in with 2 pair? On the unlikely chance it is 2 pair, A6 will be more common and you're splitting, and only beating A3. Now look at 33 and 66. He limped, like 33 and 66 would. Then he went mad on the flop. You're beating 1 hand, splitting 1, and losing 3. Plus the way he played looks like a pocket pair that hit a set.
ty.. nice analysis btw.. yse he did have a set of 3s
BR now: $106900
Playing now: $10/10/20 - $20/40 NL live, $10/20 NL full ring online, $10/20 NL 6-max online, $20/40 FL 6-max online, $100/200 FL live
Goal: $125000 for $25/50 NL live
 
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