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Can I call this river donk PSB? 50NL

  
 
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L_Clan_Sup3rMaN
Old 06-26-2009, 05:46 AM     Post subject: Can I call this river donk PSB? 50NL #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 46/21/1.3 over 41 hands and is pretty fishy. He thought for a few sec and called the turn bet, and fired the river quick but not insta quick.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) -

BB ($66.45)
UTG ($16.60)
MP ($57)
Hero (CO) ($50.50)
Button ($50)
SB ($58.55)

Preflop: Hero is CO with ,
2 folds, Hero bets $1.50, 2 folds, BB calls $1

Flop: ($3.25) , , (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.50, BB calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.25) (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $5.50, BB calls $5.50

River: ($19.25) (2 players)
[color=#CC3333]BB bets $20.50
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Old 06-26-2009, 06:29 AM #2 (permalink)  
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so let's assume he calls every suited ace, every pair up to JJ, any two broadways, some suited connectors
so that's like a 20% raise calling range, seems reasonable
on the flop he only stays in with cards like Qx, pairs 6 and above, and diamonds
on the turn he folds every pair but 66 and TT and a pair of jacks with a diamond
on the river he doesn't donk trips without the flush

he could slowplay flushes and boats on the turn with the intention of donking the river


Board: 6d Qh Qd Td 9d

Hand 0: 47.059% { KdQc }
Hand 1: 52.941% { JcJd, JdJh, JdJs, TT, 66, AdJd, Ad8d, Ad7d, A5s-A2s, QTs, 8d7d, AdQc, AdQh, AdQs, QcJd, QhJd, QsJd, QTo }

I'm amazed how good our equity is considering he could have so many boats, better flushes, even straight flushes
but if he donks a jack high flush we can't fold king high flush
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XTR1000
Old 06-26-2009, 08:41 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Id bet flop and turn harder into known fish. As played fold, considering how often this line is taken to make up for value they lost slowplaying past streets.
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bjsaust
Old 06-26-2009, 11:36 AM #4 (permalink)  
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First thought is that I snap call. XTR is right that its often missed value on villains behalf, but a guy like this is bad enough to do that with less than the Ad. Not surprised by iopqs range, I dont think we're miles ahead but its a call in my mind.
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Parasurama
Old 06-26-2009, 12:23 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Easy fold imo. Villain has no reason to think you're weak and is never turning a made hand into a bluff. People love to pot it on the river with a boat and think they're getting maximum value from a flush.
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minSim
Old 06-26-2009, 01:00 PM #6 (permalink)  
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iopq, you're having all suited A2-A5 in your range, not just the diamond ones.

I'd fold the hand btw.
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Old 06-26-2009, 01:45 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by minSim
iopq, you're having all suited A2-A5 in your range, not just the diamond ones.

I'd fold the hand btw.
fucking pokerstove :/ it's just so difficult to keep track of that shite I wish they had a better way of managing the suits of the cards

Board: 6d Qh Qd Td 9d

Hand 0: 18.182% { KdQc }
Hand 1: 81.818% { JcJd, JdJh, JdJs, TT, 66, AdJd, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, QTs, 8d7d, AdQc, AdQh, AdQs, QcJd, QhJd, QsJd, QTo }

correct percentages lol
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 06-26-2009, 03:35 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I don't think it matters much either way.
Check out the new blog!!!
 
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Alexos
Old 06-26-2009, 05:04 PM #9 (permalink)  
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I think its a fold
Nine to five is how to survive - I ain't trying to survive / I'm trying to live it to the limit and love it a lot //

Can offer RB deals on most sites, PM me.
 
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bigred
Old 06-26-2009, 07:38 PM #10 (permalink)  
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I don't think it matters much either way.
This. I'm folding and then punching a baby.
LOL OPERATIONS
 
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Luke999
Old 06-27-2009, 11:26 AM #11 (permalink)  
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It's one of those spots where by clicking the call button you know your gonna lose but you refuse to believe every river lead at 50nl is the nuts.

Just fold.
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