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Carroters
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09-17-2010, 12:59 PM
Post subject: C/F or B/F, couple of river spot line checks.
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Da Amberlamps
Posts: 2,217
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Both of these are vs the same guy. He's 20/14 over 220 hands and seems fairly straightforward and not very aggro. Not sure how good he is at folding on the river but both of these seemed like fairly easy bets at the time, thoughts?
Oh, and I'm opening to 3.4x preflop, not 2.9 fwiw.
Hand 1
No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button ($114.50)
Hero (SB) ($100)
BB ($100)
UTG ($159.70)
MP ($98.15)
CO ($195.70)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 10 , 10
4 folds, Hero bets $2.90, BB calls $2.40
Flop: ($6.80) 6 , 9 , 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.50, BB calls $4.50
Turn: ($15.80) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $12.50, BB calls $12.50
River: ($40.80) J (2 players)
Hero bets $23
Hand 2
No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($103)
Button ($100)
Hero (SB) ($110.35)
BB ($203.05)
UTG ($119.50)
MP ($105)
Preflop: Hero is SB with Q , J
4 folds, Hero bets $2.90, BB calls $2.40
Flop: ($6.80) J , 3 , 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.25, BB calls $4.25
Turn: ($15.30) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $11, BB calls $11
River: ($37.30) K (2 players)
Hero bets $21
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Da GOAT
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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1 - i c/f expecting opp to check back most hands.
2 - Im thinkin I c/c here since a ton a draws missed.
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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BigPapi
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Flush
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Rotterdam, Holland
Posts: 437
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1) agree on c/f he's not turning a medium value hand into a bluff here an will check those down. Dont see much value in betting or getting better hands to fold
2) here im thinking b/f since draws missed he will still call down with worse hands, while he wont necessarily bets his missed draws when checked to.
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Mr. Diamond
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Straight
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: verified poker sponsor
Posts: 237
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I would probably c/f both
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Carroters
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Da Amberlamps
Posts: 2,217
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1. I think there's probably stillsome value from 9x and even lower pairs some % of the time b vs b here, but the flush card isn't the best i can maybe get behind a c/f here, although I would exepct him to raise a fd on the flop a decent % of the time. Think we have the best hand a lot and it comes down to how much we can get 9x and maybe even worse hands to bluff catch.
2. Meh spades and T8 missed, QT got there, again I expect him to raise spades at some point and prolly not jus peel 2 here with T8, due to this I'm not sure I love c/c when he can have K9 KJ maybe QT sometimes. If I'd seen him play draws passivley I'd like it more. Value betting here is maybe too thin. Especially since he called in hand 1 and saw me value bet lightly.
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Alexos
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Montreal
Posts: 2,766
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1)bet like 15$
2)he's not paying off with 9x that often, so we beat JT, lose to KJ AJ. If this hand is after hand 1 and he lost hand 1, id prob just c/c a small bet and fold to a big one.
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Carroters
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Da Amberlamps
Posts: 2,217
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He called and won in hand 1 with J9 fwiw.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,465
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1 is a clear value bet, your river sizing seems fine (could maybe even go bigger)
2 seems more like a c/re-eval
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Da GOAT
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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ill side with a small vb on river in hand 1
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,465
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is betting $15 as opposed to $23 even going to change his calling range??
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
"You are a degenerate Gaam-balur"
http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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lancelott_
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Straight
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 151
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1) I think if we check the river, smart opponent should turn every single weaker 9x or worse into a bluff, because we are ch-folding so often
There is value in betting this river, maybe on a bigger side repping a flush and trying to get called by any bluffcatcher
what is this guys 3B %?
2) seems close - i think AJ+ is a clear Vbet, QJ might be a good vbet here as well, depending on how often he is gonna not believe you and call here with worse. TUrn i might C/C sometimes, since i`ll be giving up here quit a bit i think.
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griffey24
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Toronto'ish
Posts: 4,611
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lancelott_
1) I think if we check the river, smart opponent should turn every single weaker 9x or worse into a bluff, because we are ch-folding so often
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I don't think we need to be turning hands into bluffs that often in this spot. A lot of people in hero's spot will check with their air because they feel like that card might have hit us too much, so they don't wanna continue bluffing.
Others will check a lot of strong hands as a method of pot controlling, since they don't wanna get raised on their river bets. This is mostly people that would rather c/c since they are incapable of b/f strength here.
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sauce123
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Dizzy
Posts: 2,405
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b/decide first one
c/c 2nd one
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I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
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grindinginnj
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Straight
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Grinding In New Jersey!!
Posts: 143
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i c/c both hands, isnt your hand a bluff catcher know?
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Stackin chips and rippin lips!!
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Carroters
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Da Amberlamps
Posts: 2,217
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Villain has no air in his range at all in hand 1 and so has a very low bluff frequency.
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