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bluff this river?

  
 
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thizzSantaCruz
Old 08-04-2008, 09:36 AM     Post subject: bluff this river? #1 (permalink)  
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villain just sat down. I have 35 hands on him from sometime earlier and hes at 13/8/0. Fire one off on the river?

Full Tilt Poker Game #7506062648: Table Tyne (deep 6) - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 5:30:13 ET - 2008/08/04

Seat 1: ure a towel ($206.50)

Seat 2: 9 Crimes ($182.95)

Seat 3: Bugaga ($201.50)

Seat 4: hero ($266.70)

Seat 5: tboi666 ($104.80)

Seat 6: vone2k7 ($108.05)

tboi666 posts the small blind of $0.50

vone2k7 is sitting out

ure a towel posts the big blind of $1

vone2k7 stands up

The button is in seat #4

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to hero [Qc Jd]
9 Crimes folds
Bugaga raises to $3.50
hero raises to $12
tboi666 folds
ure a towel folds
Bugaga calls $8.50
*** FLOP *** [7h 5d 8c]
Bugaga checks
hero bets $17
Bugaga calls $17
*** TURN *** [7h 5d 8c] [Ts]
Bugaga checks

hero checks
*** RIVER *** [7h 5d 8c Ts] [2h]
Bugaga checks
hero........
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AnTman_69
Old 08-04-2008, 10:23 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I won't discuss you choice in 3betting qjo here.

So as played, your line reps AK. I think he will snap call with most of his range here.
I prefer triple barrelling a dude like this.
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Jack Sawyer
Old 08-04-2008, 10:28 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 I like a smallish "please call me" river bet here. Probably around $25~35
Checking will not win you this pot in any way whatsoever. Sidenote: being D will also probably hurt your chances of getting him to fold, so a weak bet will probably look strongest, not sure if I explain my logic right

Yeah, fact is he'll call you some of the time, but since you are playing deep, chances are he'll also label you a bruff munkey and will probably try and call you lighter next time, and then you know wat to do
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bjsaust
Old 08-04-2008, 10:32 AM #4 (permalink)  
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You forgot to edit your playername at one point.
Just playing to improve.
 
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bode
Old 08-04-2008, 12:55 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 without barrelling the turn i think betting the river here is giving away money. your line reeks (sp?) of AK/AQ and he may look you up with any PP he has
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dalecooper
Old 08-04-2008, 01:46 PM #6 (permalink)  
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That river card isn't scary at all - I'm not firing there after checking the turn. I agree with the people who said it looked a lot like you have missed overs.
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yourfather
Old 08-04-2008, 03:34 PM #7 (permalink)  
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If you want to steal this shouldn't you try again on the turn? At least you still have some equity with 2 overs, nut gutshot straight draw.

Edit: I guess I said what everyone said.
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will641
Old 08-04-2008, 05:39 PM #8 (permalink)  
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 i dont really like 3betting or bluffing the river. we dont have nearly enough info to be 3betting this guy with a hand like QJ0, and based on what we do know it seems bad. also on the river, it looks like he has like JJ/QQ, because of his super passive line. he also could be the type that slowplays huge hands, so who really knows. thats why i dont like 3 betting here.
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nutsinho
Old 08-05-2008, 07:19 AM #9 (permalink)  
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 dont 3bet preflop, c/f flop, and as played dont bet river.
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